Udinese vs Lecce Prediction: Serie A Preview 2026

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Model v2 · Generated 13 Oct 2026, 16:54 UTC · Track record

Bottom-Half Pressure Lands in Udine

Lecce go into the round 13th on 6 points from 6 games. They sit two places and two points above Udinese, who are 15th on 4 points. Udinese arrive on four straight defeats and Lecce on two. Kosta Runjaić’s side cannot let the gap grow, and Lecce can open real daylight with a win at the Bluenergy Stadium.

The State of Udinese

Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Udinese’s goals first):

Date	Opponent	Venue	Result	Competition
12 Oct	Torino	Away	L 1-2	Serie A
19 Sep	Cagliari	Home	L 0-1	Serie A
14 Sep	Inter Milan	Away	L 3-5	Serie A
7 Sep	Lazio	Home	L 1-2	Serie A
29 Aug	Monza	Away	W 3-2	Serie A

Udinese have not kept a clean sheet in their last five games and have conceded 12 goals in that run. Most of the defeats have been narrow. The latest was a 1-2 loss away at Torino, and before it came a 0-1 defeat at home to Cagliari. Goals have not dried up: Udinese scored 8 across the five, including a 3-2 win away at Monza before the slide began. Home form is the bigger worry, with two games in Udine producing two defeats. Udinese are traditionally a big, physical side that attacks through wide areas and loads the box. The problem this autumn has been their shape once they lose the ball.

The State of Lecce

Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Lecce’s goals first):

Date	Opponent	Venue	Result	Competition
11 Oct	Bologna	Home	L 1-2	Serie A
20 Sep	Milan	Away	L 0-3	Serie A
13 Sep	Monza	Home	W 3-2	Serie A
7 Sep	Cagliari	Away	L 0-1	Serie A
31 Aug	Roma	Home	L 0-4	Serie A

Eusebio Di Francesco’s Lecce have the better table position but the weaker attack. They failed to score in three of their last five and managed 4 goals in that run. Three of those came in one afternoon, a 3-2 win at home to Monza. Their latest outing was a 1-2 defeat at home to Bologna, after a 0-3 loss away at Milan. Both of their recent trips, to Milan and to Cagliari, ended in defeat without a goal. Di Francesco’s teams usually press high and push the full-backs on, which explains some of the space they concede.

Head-to-Head

Udinese lead the last ten meetings with five wins to Lecce’s three, plus two draws. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, went to Lecce, 2-1 at their own ground. That result ended a run of four straight Udinese wins, the last of them a 3-2 victory in Udine on 25 October 2025. In Udine the record is tighter: Udinese two wins, Lecce one, two draws. Seven of the ten meetings produced two goals or fewer.

👀 What to Watch

The key question is whether Lecce’s attack can travel. If Di Francesco pushes his full-backs high, Udinese’s wide players will have room to attack the space behind and deliver into the box. If Lecce sit deeper, Udinese must break down a block without the confidence that a winning run brings. The first goal matters more than usual: Udinese have not held a lead with any comfort this season, and Lecce have rarely come from behind away.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Udinese a 51% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 22% for Lecce. Expected goals: 1.6–0.9. Lecce’s blank away record and Udinese’s habit of scoring in this fixture (in 9 of the last 10 meetings) tilt the read toward the hosts, even with their poor run. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, but the win probabilities favour Udinese, so we take their most likely winning score, 1-0. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Udinese 1-0 Lecce

Practical Info

• Kickoff: Sunday 18 October 2026, 10:30 UTC / 12:30 CEST (Sun 18 Oct) / 6:30 AM EDT (Sun 18 Oct) / 11:30 BST (Sun 18 Oct)
• Venue: Bluenergy Stadium
• Competition: Serie A, Matchday 7
• Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)

FAQ

What time is Udinese vs Lecce?

Kickoff: Sunday 18 October 2026, 10:30 UTC / 12:30 CEST (Sun 18 Oct) / 6:30 AM EDT (Sun 18 Oct) / 11:30 BST (Sun 18 Oct)

Where is Udinese vs Lecce being played?

Venue: Bluenergy Stadium

Who won the last meeting between Udinese and Lecce?

Lecce won the last meeting 2-1 at their own ground on 8 February 2026. That ended a run of four straight Udinese wins in the fixture.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Lecce?

We predict Udinese 1-0 Lecce. Lecce failed to score on both of their recent away trips, while Udinese have scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings.

Where are Udinese and Lecce in the Serie A table?

Before this round, Lecce were 13th on 6 points from 6 games and Udinese were 15th on 4 points, two places and two points behind.