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Match Prediction
Parma win
Draw
Torino win
Parma or draw
Torino or draw
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.2 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 13 Oct 2026, 17:07 UTC · Track record
Parma Need the Tardini to Rescue Them
Parma go into the round 18th on 4 points from 6 games, and they host Torino in the last fixture of Matchday 7. Torino sit 12th on 7 points, three points and six places better off than Carlos Cuesta’s side. For Parma, home form is the only reliable thing in their season, and this Monday night is where it has to count.
The State of Parma
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Parma’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Inter Milan | Away | L 0-3 | Serie A |
| 20 Sep | Genoa | Home | W 2-1 | Serie A |
| 14 Sep | Como | Away | L 1-2 | Serie A |
| 6 Sep | Monza | Home | D 1-1 | Serie A |
| 29 Aug | Juventus | Away | L 0-2 | Serie A |
The split is stark. Away from the Tardini, Parma have lost all three games in this run, most recently a 0-3 defeat away at Inter Milan in Serie A. At home they are unbeaten in two, with one win and one draw, including a 2-1 win at home to Genoa. Across the five games they have scored 4 and conceded 9, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The issue is control at both ends. Parma have not kept a clean sheet in this run, so Cuesta’s side cannot sit on a lead. At the Tardini they have found goals in both games, and the crowd lets them press higher and play with more conviction than on the road.
The State of Torino
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Torino’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct | Udinese | Home | W 2-1 | Serie A |
| 19 Sep | Bologna | Away | D 1-1 | Serie A |
| 14 Sep | Roma | Home | L 0-2 | Serie A |
| 5 Sep | Fiorentina | Away | W 2-1 | Serie A |
| 29 Aug | Sassuolo | Away | L 1-2 | Serie A |
Ignazio Abate’s Torino arrive with a record of two wins, one draw and two defeats, 6 goals scored and 7 conceded. They are unbeaten in two, after a 2-1 win at home to Udinese in Serie A. The other result that matters is a 2-1 win away at Fiorentina. That game showed they can travel and win.
Torino have no clean sheets in this run either, and they lost 0-2 at home to Roma. They are a physical, direct side that competes for second balls. They are more comfortable when the game turns into a contest of duels than a passing exercise.
Head-to-Head
Torino lead the last seven meetings with three wins to Parma’s one, plus three draws. The most recent meeting was one-sided: Torino won 4-1 at their own ground on 13 March 2026. The Tardini tells a closer story. Of the three meetings there, Parma won one, Torino won one and one was drawn. Parma won the most recent of those 2-1 on 29 September 2025. Torino have scored in six of the seven meetings.
👀 What to Watch
Torino have scored in each of their three away games in this run, and Parma have kept no clean sheets. That points to Parma needing to outscore the visitors rather than shut them out. The key battle is Parma’s back line against Torino’s direct balls into the box. If the hosts lose the aerial and second-ball contests, the March scoreline is a warning. If they hold firm and play through Torino’s press, their home goal threat gives them a real chance.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Parma a 38% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 34% for Torino. Expected goals: 1.3–1.2. Parma’s home record in this run and their win over Torino at the Tardini last season tilt the read slightly to the hosts, even with Torino in better form overall. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.4%, but with the win probabilities favouring Parma we take their most likely winning score, 1-0. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Parma 1-0 Torino
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Monday 19 October 2026, 18:45 UTC / 20:45 CEST (Mon 19 Oct) / 2:45 PM EDT (Mon 19 Oct) / 19:45 BST (Mon 19 Oct)
- Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini
- Competition: Serie A, Matchday 7
- Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)
FAQ
- What time is Parma vs Torino?
- Kickoff: Monday 19 October 2026, 18:45 UTC / 20:45 CEST (Mon 19 Oct) / 2:45 PM EDT (Mon 19 Oct) / 19:45 BST (Mon 19 Oct)
- Where is Parma vs Torino being played?
- Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini
- How can I watch Parma vs Torino on TV?
- Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)
- Who won the last meeting between Parma and Torino?
- Torino won the last meeting 4-1 at their own ground on 13 March 2026.
- What is the predicted score for Parma vs Torino?
- Our prediction is Parma 1-0 Torino. Parma are unbeaten at home in this run and beat Torino at the Tardini last season, which gives them a slight edge.