vs
Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.
Match Prediction
Le Havre win
Draw
Auxerre win
Le Havre or draw
Auxerre or draw
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.3 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Track record
Bottom Three Hosts Meet Their Nearest Target
Le Havre go into the round 18th on 2 points from 6 games. Auxerre sit 16th on 6 points, so the visitors are two places and four points ahead. This is a relegation fight at Stade Océane. A home defeat would leave Le Havre still without a win in their last five and losing touch with a direct rival.
The State of Le Havre
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Le Havre’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Lille | Away | L 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 19 Sep | Toulouse | Away | L 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 12 Sep | Angers | Home | D 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 5 Sep | Brest | Home | L 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| 29 Aug | Lyon | Away | D 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
Didier Digard’s side have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last five, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. The 2-3 loss away at Toulouse in Ligue 1 hurt most: two goals on the road, and still nothing to show for it. They followed it by losing 0-1 away at Lille, which makes two defeats in a row. The defence is not the main problem. They kept a clean sheet at home to Angers and have rarely been taken apart. The trouble is at the other end. Le Havre failed to score in two of the five, and a side this low cannot keep relying on one goal being enough.
The State of Auxerre
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Auxerre’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Rennes | Away | L 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| 20 Sep | Brest | Home | W 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 12 Sep | Nice | Home | W 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 4 Sep | Lyon | Away | L 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 29 Aug | Angers | Home | L 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
William Still’s Auxerre have a clear split. At home they won 2 of 3. Away they lost both games. They won 1-0 at home to Nice and 2-1 at home to Brest in Ligue 1, then lost 1-4 away at Rennes. Overall they have 2 wins and 3 defeats, with 6 scored and 11 conceded. They scored in all five games, so they will create chances. But conceding 11 in five games is the kind of number that keeps a club in the bottom half.
Head-to-Head
Auxerre have not beaten Le Havre in the four meetings shown: Le Havre won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was a 1-1 draw at Le Havre’s ground on 5 April 2026. Before that, Le Havre won 1-0 at Auxerre on 26 October 2025. Le Havre scored in all four meetings.
👀 What to Watch
The key contrast is Le Havre’s blunt attack against Auxerre’s leaky defence away from home. Auxerre lost both away games in the form data, conceding four at Rennes. If Le Havre are going to score freely in any game soon, it is this one. The other side of it: Auxerre score in every game, so Le Havre cannot sit back and hope a clean sheet earns them a point.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Le Havre a 34% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 38% for Auxerre. Expected goals: 1.2–1.3. Auxerre’s steady scoring and Le Havre’s poor run tip the model slightly towards the visitors, although the head-to-head record points the other way. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.5%, but with the win probabilities favouring Auxerre we take their most likely winning score, 0-1. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Le Havre 0-1 Auxerre
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC / 17:15 CEST (Sun 18 Oct) / 11:15 AM EDT (Sun 18 Oct) / 16:15 BST (Sun 18 Oct)
- Venue: Stade Océane
- Competition: Ligue 1, Matchday 7
- Where to watch: Ligue 1+ (France & UK) / beIN Sports (US)
FAQ
- What time is Le Havre vs Auxerre?
- Kickoff: Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC / 17:15 CEST (Sun 18 Oct) / 11:15 AM EDT (Sun 18 Oct) / 16:15 BST (Sun 18 Oct)
- Where is Le Havre vs Auxerre being played?
- Venue: Stade Océane
- How can I watch Le Havre vs Auxerre?
- Where to watch: Ligue 1+ (France & UK) / beIN Sports (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Le Havre and Auxerre?
- Nobody. The last meeting finished Le Havre 1-1 Auxerre at Le Havre's ground on 5 April 2026. Auxerre have not beaten Le Havre in the four meetings shown.
- What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Auxerre?
- Our prediction is Le Havre 0-1 Auxerre. Auxerre have scored in every one of their last five games, while Le Havre have failed to score in two of theirs.