Torino vs Udinese Prediction, Serie A 2026/27 Matchday 6

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Match Prediction

46%
Torino win
27%
Draw
26%
Udinese win

Expected goals: 1.5 – 1.0  |  Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength, recent form & H2H

Most likely scores:1–1 (13.1%)1–0 (11.4%)2–1 (9.1%)

Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.

Model v2 · Generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:48 UTC · Track record

Two Struggling Sides Meet at the Olimpico

Torino and Udinese arrive at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on identical records after five rounds: one win, one draw, three defeats apiece. This is a match neither side can afford to lose. A defeat here risks drifting further from the top half while the season is still young enough to recover.

The State of Torino

Ignazio Abate’s side have found goals hard to come by. Their lone league win came against Fiorentina (2-1), bookended by defeats to Milan, Sassuolo and Roma, plus a 1-1 draw with Bologna in their most recent outing. The pattern is clear: Torino can compete but struggle to sustain pressure across 90 minutes. Rolando Mandragora remains the heartbeat of the midfield, while Nikola Vlašić carries the creative burden in the final third. At the back, Saúl Coco and Ardian Ismajli give Abate a physical centre-back pairing, but the defence has conceded in every league match so far. Cristiano Biraghi offers set-piece delivery from left-back, a route to goal Torino will lean on against compact opposition.

The State of Udinese

Kosta Runjaić’s Udinese opened the campaign with a draw against Como and a 3-2 win over Monza, but the wheels have come off since. Defeats to Lazio (1-2), Inter (3-5) and Cagliari (0-1) tell a story of defensive fragility. The 3-5 loss at Inter was especially revealing: Udinese created chances but leaked goals at an alarming rate. Maduka Okoye will need protection from a backline that includes Oumar Solet and Enzo Ebosse. In midfield, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp and Giorgi Chakvetadze provide technique, but Udinese’s recent results suggest they are being overrun in transition.

Head-to-Head

Udinese won the last two meetings between these sides: 2-0 at home in May 2026 and 1-2 at the Olimpico in January 2026. That reversed a period of Torino dominance. Across the last 10 meetings, Torino lead 5-3 with two draws. In the five meetings hosted by Torino, the home side have won three, drawn one and lost one. Low-scoring affairs are common: six of the last 10 meetings produced two goals or fewer.

👀 What to Watch

The left flank could decide this match. Biraghi’s deliveries into the box will test Udinese’s aerial discipline, and Alessandro Zanoli, operating as a wing-back on the opposite side for the visitors, may find himself pinned back. If Torino win the territorial battle wide, Vlašić should find pockets of space between the lines. Udinese’s best route back lies in quick transitions through Chakvetadze, who can carry the ball through midfield and release runners before Torino’s centre-backs can set. The team that controls the tempo in the middle third will likely control the result.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Torino a 46% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 26% for Udinese. Expected goals: 1.5–1.0.

Torino’s home head-to-head advantage (three wins in five at this ground) and Udinese’s run of three consecutive defeats tilt the balance toward the hosts. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.1%, but with the win probabilities favouring one side we take their most likely winning score, 1-0. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Torino 1-0 Udinese

Practical Info

Kickoff: 18:30 CEST (Sun 11 Oct) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sun 11 Oct) / 17:30 BST (Sun 11 Oct). Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Where to watch: DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK).

FAQ

What time is Torino vs Udinese?
Kickoff is at 18:30 CEST (Sun 11 Oct), 12:30 PM EDT (Sun 11 Oct) or 17:30 BST (Sun 11 Oct).
Where is Torino vs Udinese being played?
The match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Turin, Italy.
Who won the last meeting between Torino and Udinese?
Udinese won 2-0 at home on 2 May 2026. They also won the previous meeting 2-1 at Torino's ground in January 2026.
What is the predicted score for Torino vs Udinese?
Our prediction is Torino 1-0 Udinese. Torino's strong home head-to-head record and Udinese's run of three straight defeats support a narrow home win, though 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline at 13.1%.
How can I watch Torino vs Udinese on TV?
The match is available on DAZN in Italy and TNT Sports in the UK.

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