Lazio vs Monza Prediction: Serie A 2026/27 Matchday 6

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Model v2 · Generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:47 UTC · Track record

Lazio Look to Stay Unbeaten Against Struggling Monza

Lazio welcome Monza to the Stadio Olimpico riding an unbeaten start to the Serie A campaign, while the visitors arrive in desperate need of points after collecting just one win from their opening five fixtures. The gap between these two sides is already significant, and Monza will know that another defeat here could leave them stranded early in the season.

The State of Lazio

Gennaro Gattuso’s side have been quietly efficient so far. Wins over Bologna (1-0), Genoa (1-0), and Udinese (2-1) were followed by a 2-2 draw away at Milan, before a comfortable 2-0 victory over Venezia last time out. What stands out is the defensive solidity: clean sheets against Bologna, Genoa, and Venezia suggest a well-organised backline. Alessio Romagnoli anchors that defence, while Alfonso Pedraza and Nuno Tavares offer width from full-back. In midfield, Danilho Doekhi has been a key presence, providing the kind of box-to-box energy Gattuso’s system demands. Lazio do not blow teams away, but they grind out results with discipline.

The State of Monza

Ivan Juric faces a difficult task. Monza opened with a 4-1 loss to Inter, then fell 3-2 to Udinese and drew 1-1 with Parma before a painful 3-2 defeat to Lecce. A 2-1 win over Sassuolo last time out offered some relief, but the pattern is clear: Monza concede too many goals. Matteo Pessina remains the heartbeat of the side, while Andrea Colpani carries the creative burden. The problem is at the back, where Monza have leaked goals at an alarming rate. Juric’s preference for aggressive, man-marking defensive schemes can be effective, but it requires precise execution that this squad has not yet delivered consistently.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has been one-way traffic. Lazio are unbeaten in the last six meetings, winning four and drawing two. The most recent clash at the Stadio Olimpico ended 5-1 to Lazio in February 2025, the widest margin in this sample. Monza have failed to score in three of those six encounters, and have never won in this run. Even the draws (2-2 at Monza’s ground in May 2024, 1-1 at the Olimpico in September 2023) came with Lazio doing the bulk of the pressing.

👀 What to Watch

The key matchup is Monza’s high defensive line against Lazio’s ability to transition quickly. Juric’s man-oriented pressing leaves space in behind when beaten, and Lazio’s wing-backs, particularly Nuno Tavares with his raw pace, are built to exploit exactly that. If Monza press high and get turned, the Olimpico crowd will sense blood. Conversely, Monza’s only route to a result likely runs through Colpani and Pessina combining in tight spaces to bypass Lazio’s midfield screen. Whether Juric gambles on aggression or opts for a more pragmatic shape will define the contest.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Lazio a 65% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 12% for Monza. Expected goals: 1.8–0.7. Lazio’s defensive record, dominant head-to-head, and home advantage all point firmly in their direction, while Monza’s leaky defence offers little reason for optimism. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Lazio 1-0 Monza

Practical Info

Kickoff: 18:30 CEST (Sun 11 Oct) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sun 11 Oct) / 17:30 BST (Sun 11 Oct). Venue: Stadio Olimpico. Where to watch: DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK).

FAQ

What time is Lazio vs Monza?

Kickoff is at 18:30 CEST (Sun 11 Oct), which is 12:30 PM EDT or 17:30 BST on the same day.

Where is Lazio vs Monza being played?

The match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Lazio's home ground.

Who won the last meeting between Lazio and Monza?

Lazio won 5-1 at the Stadio Olimpico in February 2025. Lazio are unbeaten in the last six meetings between the sides.

What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Monza?

Our model predicts Lazio 1-0 Monza. Lazio's strong defensive record this season, dominant head-to-head advantage, and home form all support a narrow home win.

How can I watch Lazio vs Monza on TV?

The match is available on DAZN in Italy and TNT Sports in the UK.