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Match Prediction
Torino win
Draw
Monza win
Torino or draw
Monza or draw
Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.8 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 20 Oct 2026, 19:14 UTC · Track record
Juric Brings Monza Back to Turin
Torino open Serie A Matchday 8 on Friday night, and Ivan Juric returns to the club he used to coach, this time in the away dugout. Torino go into the round 10th on 10 points from seven games. Monza sit 14th on 7 points, so the home side lead by three points and four places. Each club won big in its last league game, and one of those runs stops here.
The State of Torino
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Torino’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Parma | Away | W 3-0 | Serie A |
| 12 Oct | Udinese | Home | W 2-1 | Serie A |
| 19 Sep | Bologna | Away | D 1-1 | Serie A |
| 14 Sep | Roma | Home | L 0-2 | Serie A |
| 5 Sep | Fiorentina | Away | W 2-1 | Serie A |
Ignazio Abate’s side come in on two straight wins and are unbeaten in their last three. The latest was the most convincing: a 3-0 win away at Parma in Serie A. Torino have been better travellers than hosts. They have two wins and a draw on the road across these five games, but only one win from two at home. The other home game was a 0-2 defeat at home to Roma, the one match of the five where they failed to score. Eight goals scored and five conceded show a balanced side. The open question is whether they can break down a visitor in Turin as well as they hit teams on the break away from home.
The State of Monza
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Monza’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Cagliari | Home | W 4-0 | Serie A |
| 11 Oct | Lazio | Away | L 1-3 | Serie A |
| 18 Sep | Sassuolo | Home | W 2-1 | Serie A |
| 13 Sep | Lecce | Away | L 2-3 | Serie A |
| 6 Sep | Parma | Away | D 1-1 | Serie A |
Monza have looked like two different teams. At home they have won both games, including a 4-0 win at home to Cagliari in Serie A. Away they have no wins in three, with one draw and two defeats, the latest a 1-3 loss away at Lazio. They have scored in all five games, with 10 goals for and 8 against. That fits Juric’s familiar approach: aggressive man-to-man pressing and wing-backs pushed high. The press creates chances, but it leaves space behind when the first line is beaten.
Head-to-Head
Monza have not beaten Torino in the six meetings listed: Torino have won three and three were draws. The most recent meeting, on 2 March 2025 in Serie A, ended Monza 0-2 Torino at Monza’s ground. That was the widest margin in the sample. In Turin, Torino have one win and two draws. Five of the six games had two goals or fewer, and no side scored more than twice.
👀 What to Watch
The key is Torino’s first pass against the press. Juric knows this club and this stadium well, and his side will try to pin Torino’s back line. If Torino play through that first line, the space behind Monza’s wing-backs is where they hurt Parma. The second story is Monza’s away form. They have scored on the road, but they have not held on.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Torino a 56% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 18% for Monza. Expected goals: 1.7–0.8. Monza’s winless away run and their record of no wins against Torino in the listed meetings drive that read. The history of low scores points to a tight game rather than a rout. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Torino 1-0 Monza
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC / 20:45 CEST (Fri 23 Oct) / 2:45 PM EDT (Fri 23 Oct) / 19:45 BST (Fri 23 Oct)
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
- Competition: Serie A, Matchday 8
- Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)
FAQ
- What time is Torino vs Monza?
- Kickoff: Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC / 20:45 CEST (Fri 23 Oct) / 2:45 PM EDT (Fri 23 Oct) / 19:45 BST (Fri 23 Oct)
- Where is Torino vs Monza being played?
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
- Who won the last meeting between Torino and Monza?
- Torino won. The last meeting, on 2 March 2025 in Serie A, ended Monza 0-2 Torino at Monza's ground.
- What is the predicted score for Torino vs Monza?
- Our prediction is Torino 1-0 Monza. Monza have no away win in their last five games and have not beaten Torino in the six meetings listed, and those meetings are usually low scoring.
- Where can I watch Torino vs Monza on TV?
- Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)