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Match Prediction
Celta Vigo win
Draw
Real Betis win
Celta Vigo or draw
Real Betis or draw
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.3 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 23 Oct 2026, 05:59 UTC · Track record
Balaídos Test for a Stretched Betis
Real Betis go into the round fourth on 19 points from nine games, eight points and four places clear of Celta Vigo, who sit eighth on 11 from nine. Celta are unbeaten in their last five. Betis arrive in Galicia four days after a Champions League night against Feyenoord, and that makes this a real examination of how well Manuel Pellegrini’s squad can carry two competitions.
The State of Celta Vigo
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Celta Vigo’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Alavés | Home | W 2-1 | Primera Division |
| 11 Oct | Elche | Away | D 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 19 Sep | Racing Santander | Home | W 5-0 | Primera Division |
| 13 Sep | Málaga | Home | D 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 7 Sep | Getafe | Away | D 1-1 | Primera Division |
Claudio’s side have two wins and three draws in their last five, with nine scored and three conceded. The 5-0 win at home to Racing Santander showed what Celta can do once they get on top. The 2-1 win at home to Alavés kept the run going. The issue is turning draws into wins: three in five, and only one goalless game in that run. At home they have two wins and a draw from three in this sequence, and two clean sheets overall tell you this is a compact team that is hard to open up.
The State of Real Betis
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Real Betis’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Feyenoord | Home | W 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| 17 Oct | Barcelona | Home | L 2-5 | Primera Division |
| 14 Oct | Porto | Home | W 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| 11 Oct | Osasuna | Home | W 5-2 | Primera Division |
| 20 Sep | Deportivo | Away | D 1-1 | Primera Division |
Betis have three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 12 scored and 10 conceded. Those numbers sum up the side: they score in every game and they also leave gaps. The 1-0 win at home to Feyenoord in the Champions League was a rare clean sheet. In La Liga, though, they lost 2-5 at home to Barcelona, and a team that pressed them hard and attacked the space behind their full-backs pulled them apart. Their only away game in this run ended in a draw.
Head-to-Head
The recent record favours Celta clearly: five wins to Betis’ one in the last ten meetings, plus four draws. At Celta’s ground it is even starker. Celta won three of the five meetings there and drew two, so Betis have no win at Balaídos in that sample. The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Real Betis 1-1 Celta Vigo in Seville, and three of the last four meetings were draws. Celta scored in nine of the ten.
👀 What to Watch
The schedule is the story. Betis played Feyenoord on the Wednesday, so watch how much Pellegrini rotates and whether his midfield still has the legs to press for 90 minutes. Celta’s defence has conceded three in five, and it faces a Betis attack that has not been kept out in this run. If Celta stay compact and break quickly, the Barcelona game shows that this Betis back line can be got at.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Celta Vigo a 32% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 40% for Real Betis. Expected goals: 1.2–1.3. Betis’ attack, which has scored in every game of this run, and their higher league position push the model their way. Our view is that it may underrate Celta’s record at Balaídos and the effect of Betis’ Champions League workload. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.4%, but with the win probabilities favouring Betis we take their most likely winning score, 0-1. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Betis
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:15 UTC / 16:15 CET (Sun 25 Oct) / 11:15 AM EDT (Sun 25 Oct) / 15:15 GMT (Sun 25 Oct)
- Venue: Abanca-Balaídos
- Competition: La Liga, Matchday 10
- Where to watch: Premier Sports & Disney+ (UK) / ESPN (US)
FAQ
- What time is Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
- Kickoff: Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:15 UTC / 16:15 CET (Sun 25 Oct) / 11:15 AM EDT (Sun 25 Oct) / 15:15 GMT (Sun 25 Oct)
- Where is Celta Vigo vs Real Betis being played?
- Venue: Abanca-Balaídos
- How can I watch Celta Vigo vs Real Betis on TV?
- Where to watch: Premier Sports & Disney+ (UK) / ESPN (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Celta Vigo and Real Betis?
- Nobody. The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Real Betis 1-1 Celta Vigo. Celta lead the last ten meetings with five wins to Betis' one, plus four draws.
- What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
- Our prediction is Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Betis. Betis' attack has scored in every game of their recent run, though Celta's strong home record against them makes a draw a real possibility.