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Match Prediction
Preston win
Draw
West Brom win
Preston or draw
West Brom or draw
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.3 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 21 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC · Track record
Bottom Club Hosts a Promotion Chaser
Preston go into this round bottom of the Championship, 24th on 4 points from 11 games. West Brom arrive fifth on 20 points, 19 places and 16 points better off. Graham Alexander’s side close out Matchday 12 at Deepdale needing a result to stop a slide that is turning into a crisis.
The State of Preston
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Preston’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Wrexham | Away | L 1-4 | Championship |
| 13 Oct | Birmingham | Away | L 0-4 | Championship |
| 10 Oct | Millwall | Home | L 0-1 | Championship |
| 19 Sep | QPR | Away | D 2-2 | Championship |
| 12 Sep | Lincoln City | Home | L 0-1 | Championship |
Three defeats in a row and no win in the last five tell the story. The two most recent results hurt most: a 0-4 loss away at Birmingham, then a 1-4 defeat away at Wrexham. Across those five Championship games Preston scored 3 and conceded 12, with no clean sheet and three games without a goal. Home has offered no shelter either, as both Deepdale fixtures in that run ended in defeat.
The problem runs both ways. On the road the defence is leaking goals in bunches. At home the attack cannot break through tight games. Alexander has to pick one problem to fix first, and against a side in form, a compact shape that keeps the game level looks the likelier choice.
The State of West Brom
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows West Brom’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Blackburn | Home | W 3-2 | Championship |
| 13 Oct | Wrexham | Away | W 2-1 | Championship |
| 10 Oct | Birmingham | Home | L 0-1 | Championship |
| 20 Sep | Wolves | Away | L 0-1 | Championship |
| 12 Sep | QPR | Home | D 1-1 | Championship |
James Morrison’s side have won two in a row: 2-1 away at Wrexham, then 3-2 at home to Blackburn. Those wins came after a dip, and the five-game tally is balanced at 6 scored and 6 conceded, with no clean sheets. This West Brom team wins games by outscoring opponents rather than shutting them down. The Wrexham win carries weight here: Preston conceded four at that ground, while West Brom left with three points.
Head-to-Head
West Brom have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, Preston 2, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was a 0-2 West Brom win at Deepdale on 18 April 2026. Before that, West Brom won 2-1 at The Hawthorns on 18 October 2025. Preston’s last win in the fixture came 1-0 at Deepdale on 5 October 2022, and they have not scored three in any of the ten meetings.
👀 What to Watch
The key fact is this: West Brom have not kept a clean sheet in five games, and Preston have failed to score in three of their last five. One of those trends has to break. If Preston can keep it level for the opening half hour and keep the Deepdale crowd behind them, a nervous West Brom back line could give them chances. Concede early, and the pattern of the Birmingham and Wrexham defeats could repeat.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Preston a 32% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 40% for West Brom. Expected goals: 1.2–1.3.
West Brom’s dominance in this fixture and Preston’s three straight defeats tilt the read toward the visitors. Preston’s home crowd and West Brom’s lack of clean sheets keep it close. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.4%, but with the win probabilities favouring West Brom we take their most likely winning score, 0-1. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Preston 0-1 West Brom
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Venue: Deepdale Stadium
- Competition: Championship, Matchday 12
- Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)
FAQ
- What time is Preston vs West Brom?
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Where is Preston vs West Brom being played?
- Venue: Deepdale Stadium
- How can I watch Preston vs West Brom on TV?
- Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Preston and West Brom?
- West Brom won 2-0 at Deepdale on 18 April 2026. They have won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- What is the predicted score for Preston vs West Brom?
- Our prediction is Preston 0-1 West Brom. Preston have lost three in a row, and West Brom have won two straight and dominate the recent head-to-head.
