What time is Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?

Kickoff: Wednesday 21 October 2026, 18:00 UTC / 20:00 CEST (Wed 21 Oct) / 2:00 PM EDT (Wed 21 Oct) / 19:00 BST (Wed 21 Oct)

Who won the last meeting between Levante and Athletic Bilbao?

Athletic won 4-2 at San Mamés in February 2026. In fact, Athletic have won five of the last seven meetings, with Levante yet to record a victory in that span.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?

Our prediction is Levante 1-0 Athletic Bilbao. The model gives Levante a 39% win probability, and while 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline, the slight home advantage tips the pick toward a narrow Levante win.

What La Liga position are Levante and Athletic Bilbao in?

Entering this round, Athletic are eighth on seven points from five games, while Levante sit 13th on five points from four games.

Levante vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.

Match Prediction

39%
Levante win

28%
Draw

33%
Athletic Bilbao win

67%
Levante or draw

Double Chance

61%
Athletic Bilbao or draw

Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.2 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head

Most likely scores:1–1 (13.4%)1–0 (10.2%)0–1 (9.1%)

Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.

Model v2 · Generated 13 Sep 2026, 10:51 UTC · Track record

Levante Need to Break Athletic’s Hex

Levante sit 13th on five points, eight behind leaders Barcelona and two adrift of Athletic in eighth. That gap could widen or narrow on Wednesday night, but for the hosts the real issue is psychological: they have not beaten Athletic in any of the last seven meetings, losing five and drawing two. Winning at the Ciutat de València would be a statement that Luís Castro’s project has substance.

The State of Levante

Levante’s early season has been a study in extremes. A 0-3 home loss to Espanyol on the opening day was followed by a goalless draw at Osasuna, then a remarkable 5-2 demolition of Real Betis, and most recently another 0-0 stalemate away at Málaga. Two clean sheets conceded, two kept: the pattern suggests a side that either clicks in attack or shuts down entirely. Luís Castro, who built his reputation on structured, counter-pressing sides at Shakhtar Donetsk and elsewhere, will want more consistency going forward. The Betis result showed Levante can hurt quality opposition at home, but the two blanks either side raise questions about creative reliability when opponents sit compact.

The State of Athletic Bilbao

Edin Terzić’s first months in charge have produced familiar Athletic resilience. After opening with defeats to Sevilla and Barcelona, the Basques have steadied: a 2-0 win over Celta, a stunning 3-0 victory against Atlético Madrid, and then a 1-1 draw at home to Elche that tempered expectations. That Elche result is the one that nags. Beating Atleti 3-0 showed the press and vertical transitions Terzić favours can overwhelm top sides, but dropping points to a newly promoted team at San Mamés hints at inconsistency against deep blocks. Athletic’s seven points from five games place them mid-table, a position that flatters neither the squad nor the ambition.

Head-to-Head

The record is stark. Athletic have won five of the last seven meetings, with the other two drawn. Levante have zero wins in the sample. In the two most recent clashes last season, Athletic won 4-2 at San Mamés and 2-0 at the Ciutat de València. At this ground specifically, Athletic have won two of four and drawn two, with Levante failing to win any. It is the kind of head-to-head dominance that becomes self-reinforcing.

👀 What to Watch

The key question is whether Levante can sustain the attacking intensity they showed against Betis or whether they revert to the cautious, low-output version seen against Osasuna and Málaga. Castro’s system tends to sit narrow and spring forward in transition, which plays into Athletic’s hands if the hosts cannot win the ball high enough up the pitch. Terzić’s press is aggressive but leaves space in behind when committed. If Levante can bypass it, they have the pace to exploit the channels. If they cannot, Athletic’s midfield control will suffocate the game.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Levante a 39% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 33% for Athletic Bilbao. Expected goals: 1.3–1.2.

The model slightly favours Levante, which reflects home advantage and Athletic’s inconsistency against lower-block sides, as shown in the Elche draw. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%, but with the win probabilities favouring Levante we take their most likely winning score, 1-0. Athletic’s head-to-head dominance makes the lean uncomfortable, but the model accounts for current form and venue. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Levante 1-0 Athletic Bilbao

Practical Info

Kickoff: Wednesday 21 October 2026, 18:00 UTC / 20:00 CEST (Wed 21 Oct) / 2:00 PM EDT (Wed 21 Oct) / 19:00 BST (Wed 21 Oct)
Venue: Ciutat de València
Competition: La Liga
Where to watch: Premier Sports & Disney+ (UK) / ESPN (US)

FAQ

What time is Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?: Kickoff: Wednesday 21 October 2026, 18:00 UTC / 20:00 CEST (Wed 21 Oct) / 2:00 PM EDT (Wed 21 Oct) / 19:00 BST (Wed 21 Oct)
Where is Levante vs Athletic Bilbao being played?: Venue: Ciutat de València
Who won the last meeting between Levante and Athletic Bilbao?: Athletic won 4-2 at San Mamés in February 2026. In fact, Athletic have won five of the last seven meetings, with Levante yet to record a victory in that span.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?: Our prediction is Levante 1-0 Athletic Bilbao. The model gives Levante a 39% win probability, and while 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline, the slight home advantage tips the pick toward a narrow Levante win.
What La Liga position are Levante and Athletic Bilbao in?: Entering this round, Athletic are eighth on seven points from five games, while Levante sit 13th on five points from four games.