vs
Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.
Match Prediction
Hull City win
Draw
Everton win
Expected goals: 0.8 – 1.8 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength, recent form & H2H
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:40 UTC · Track record
Unbeaten Everton Test Hull’s Home Record at the MKM Stadium
Hull City and Everton meet on Matchday 6 with remarkably similar profiles: solid early-season form, defensive discipline, and just one point between them. Everton arrive unbeaten in five league matches. Hull’s only defeat came last weekend against Newcastle. This is a genuine test of whether either side can sustain a push towards the upper reaches of the table.
The State of Hull City
Hull opened the season with back-to-back wins, beating Manchester United 2-0 at the MKM Stadium and then edging Coventry 1-0 away. Draws against Aston Villa (0-0) and Chelsea (2-2) followed before a narrow 1-2 loss to Newcastle last time out. That defeat will sting, but the broader picture is encouraging: Hull have been hard to beat and effective at home.
Jack Butland provides experience and composure in goal. The defensive unit, anchored by John Egan and Semi Ajayi, has conceded sparingly. Lewie Coyle offers width from full-back, while Regan Slater and Matty Crooks give the midfield energy and ball-winning capability. Hull’s challenge remains creativity: they have scored more than once in just two of five matches.
The State of Everton
Everton are unbeaten through five rounds. They opened with a 2-0 win over Crystal Palace, drew with Bournemouth (1-1) and Manchester United (2-2), held Tottenham to a goalless draw, and beat Ipswich 1-0 last weekend. The pattern is clear: Everton are difficult to break down but sometimes lack the cutting edge to turn draws into wins.
James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite form one of the division’s sturdiest centre-back pairings. Jordan Pickford remains a commanding presence behind them. In midfield, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and James Garner provide composure on the ball, while Hayden Hackney adds dynamism. Carlos Alcaraz offers the creative spark Everton need to unlock deeper defences.
Head-to-Head
Hull and Everton have a long but infrequent recent history, having spent much of the last decade in different divisions. Their meetings have typically been competitive, low-scoring affairs. With Hull now back in the top flight, this fixture carries added novelty. The home crowd will be eager to prove the MKM Stadium is a fortress.
👀 What to Watch
The key subplot is Hull’s home record against Everton’s away resilience. Hull beat Manchester United 2-0 at the MKM Stadium and have not lost at home this season. Everton, though, have conceded just three goals in five league matches and are built to frustrate. Expect Tarkowski and Branthwaite to sit deep and challenge Hull’s forwards to find space between the lines. If Hull cannot break through early, frustration may set in, and Everton’s midfield runners (Dewsbury-Hall, Hackney) could exploit the gaps left by a team chasing the game.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Hull City a 15% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 61% for Everton. Expected goals: 0.8–1.8. Everton’s defensive solidity and unbeaten record make them clear favourites. Hull’s recent loss to Newcastle and tendency to score in low volumes work against them here. These are model projections for informational purposes only, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Hull City 0-1 Everton
Practical Info
Kickoff: 15:00 BST (Sat 10 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 10 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 10 Oct). Venue: MKM Stadium. Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US).
FAQ
- What time is Hull City vs Everton?
- Kickoff is at 15:00 BST (Saturday 10 October), which is 10:00 AM EDT and 16:00 CEST.
- Where is Hull City vs Everton being played?
- The match takes place at the MKM Stadium, Hull City's home ground.
- How can I watch Hull City vs Everton?
- In the UK, coverage is on Sky Sports, TNT Sports and BBC Match of the Day. In the US, it is available on NBC Sports and Peacock.
- What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?
- Our model predicts Hull City 0-1 Everton. Everton's unbeaten start and defensive strength make them favourites, while Hull have struggled to score more than once in most matches this season.
- Are Hull City and Everton unbeaten this season?
- Everton are unbeaten in all five Premier League matches so far (two wins, three draws). Hull City have one defeat (1-2 against Newcastle) alongside two wins and two draws.