Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction: Bundesliga 2026/27

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Model v2 · Generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:39 UTC · Track record

Augsburg Face Bayern After Momentum Stalls

Augsburg welcome Bayern Munich to the WWK Arena on Matchday 5 after a bruising 2-3 home defeat to Werder Bremen. That loss snapped a run that had seen them beat Schalke 3-0, thrash Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1, and earn a creditable 2-2 draw away at Bayer Leverkusen. Bayern, meanwhile, arrive in ominous form after dismantling Union Berlin 7-0 in their most recent outing.

The State of Augsburg

Manuel Baum’s side showed real bite earlier this season, and their 4-1 win over Frankfurt in particular suggested a team that could punish opponents on the counter and convert chances at a high rate. But the loss to Bremen exposed defensive fragility: conceding three at home is not the platform you want before hosting Bayern. Yannik Keitel and Kristijan Jakić anchor the midfield, and their ability to disrupt Bayern’s build-up will be critical. Alexis Claude Maurice offers creativity in the final third, but Augsburg will likely need to defend deep and hit on transitions. Nediljko Labrović faces a busy evening between the posts.

The State of Bayern Munich

Vincent Kompany’s Bayern opened with a 5-1 demolition of Stuttgart, then stuttered with a goalless draw against Schalke. Since that blip, the results have been emphatic: 5-0 against Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League, a 2-1 grind past Elversberg, and the 7-0 rout of Union Berlin. Jamal Musiala continues to operate as the creative fulcrum, while Joshua Kimmich dictates tempo from deeper positions. The back line, marshalled by Jonathan Tah and Min-Jae Kim, has been miserly. That Schalke draw looks like an outlier, not a trend.

Head-to-Head

Bayern have won seven of the last nine meetings between these clubs, with Augsburg managing just two victories. One of those came at the WWK Arena in September 2022 (1-0), while the other was a memorable 2-1 win in Munich in January 2026. Goals tend to flow in this fixture: only two of the nine meetings produced two goals or fewer, and Bayern have scored three or more in six of them. Augsburg have found the net in seven of nine, so a clean sheet for Bayern is not guaranteed, but the overall pattern is clear.

👀 What to Watch

Augsburg’s defensive midfield pairing of Jakić and Keitel will need to cut passing lanes between Kimmich and Musiala. When that link clicks, Bayern carve teams apart, as Union Berlin discovered. If Augsburg sit too deep, they invite wave after wave of pressure; if they press too high, Musiala can turn and drive at the back line. The other thread is whether Augsburg can exploit set pieces. Bayern’s dominance in open play is well established, so dead-ball situations may be Augsburg’s best route to a goal, with centre-backs like Jeffrey Gouweleeuw and Chrislain Matsima offering aerial threat.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Augsburg a 9% chance of winning, 20% for a draw and 71% for Bayern Munich. Expected goals: 0.5–2.0. Bayern’s recent run of form, combined with their historical dominance in this fixture, makes a comfortable away win the likeliest outcome. Augsburg’s home defeat to Bremen suggests the defensive issues are real, not a one-off. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Augsburg 0-2 Bayern Munich

Practical Info

Kickoff: 02:00 CEST (Sat 10 Oct) / 8:00 PM EDT (Fri 9 Oct) / 01:00 BST (Sat 10 Oct). Venue: WWK Arena. Where to watch: DAZN (Germany) / TNT Sports (UK).

FAQ

What time is Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

Kickoff is at 02:00 CEST (Saturday 10 October), 8:00 PM EDT (Friday 9 October), or 01:00 BST (Saturday 10 October).

Where is Augsburg vs Bayern Munich being played?

The match takes place at the WWK Arena, Augsburg's home ground.

Who won the last meeting between Augsburg and Bayern Munich?

Augsburg won 2-1 at Bayern Munich's ground in January 2026.

What is the predicted score for Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

The predicted scoreline is Augsburg 0-2 Bayern Munich. Bayern's dominant head-to-head record and recent form make a comfortable away victory the most likely result.

How can I watch Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

The match is available on DAZN in Germany and TNT Sports in the UK.