Genoa vs Venezia Prediction: Serie A Preview 2026/27

Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.

Model v2 · Generated 20 Oct 2026, 20:56 UTC · Track record

A Relegation Six-Pointer at the Ferraris

Genoa go into the round 17th on 4 points from 7 games. Venezia sit 20th on 3 points from 7, so one point separates them. This is a straight fight between two clubs in the bottom four, and neither can afford to drop points to the other.

The State of Genoa

Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Genoa’s goals first):

Date	Opponent	Venue	Result	Competition
17 Oct	Roma	Away	L 0-2	Serie A
10 Oct	Fiorentina	Home	W 2-1	Serie A
20 Sep	Parma	Away	L 1-2	Serie A
12 Sep	Frosinone	Home	D 1-1	Serie A
4 Sep	Como	Home	L 1-4	Serie A

Daniele De Rossi’s side have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last five Serie A games, with 10 goals conceded and no clean sheet. The win came 2-1 at home to Fiorentina, and it showed what the Ferraris crowd can lift out of this group. The 0-2 loss away at Roma was the opposite: they created little against a well-drilled side and never threatened a way back.

The zero in the clean-sheet column is the problem De Rossi most needs to fix. Leo Østigård and Johan Vásquez form an aggressive, front-foot centre-back pairing, but the space behind them has been exposed, and Justin Bijlow has been busy. Morten Frendrup is the engine in midfield who sets the pressing tempo. Djibril Sow gives the forward carry that turns a regain into an attack.

The State of Venezia

Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Venezia’s goals first):

Date	Opponent	Venue	Result	Competition
17 Oct	Napoli	Home	W 1-0	Serie A
12 Oct	Atalanta	Away	L 1-3	Serie A
19 Sep	Lazio	Home	L 0-2	Serie A
11 Sep	Fiorentina	Home	L 2-4	Serie A
6 Sep	Frosinone	Away	L 2-3	Serie A

Giovanni Stroppa’s side have lost four of their last five, with 12 goals conceded. The one win was the result of their season so far: 1-0 at home to Napoli, their only clean sheet in the run. It came straight after a 1-3 loss away at Atalanta, and both away games in the run ended in defeat.

Juan Jesus brings experience to a back line that has needed it, and Armel Bella Kotchap adds pace in recovery. Pasquale Mazzocchi and Ridgeciano Haps supply much of the width, so Venezia’s attacking threat often depends on how high those two can push.

Head-to-Head

This fixture is rarely open. All four recent meetings produced two goals or fewer, and no side scored more than twice in any of them. Genoa won the last meeting 2-0 at home on 17 February 2025, after Venezia had won 2-0 at their own ground on 21 September 2024. Of the two meetings in Genoa, the hosts won one and the other ended 0-0.

👀 What to Watch

Watch the flanks. If Mazzocchi and Haps push up, Stefano Sabelli and Mario Mitaj get space to attack behind them, and that is where Genoa’s best chances should come from. The second story is Frendrup against Venezia’s rebuilt confidence. The clean sheet against Napoli suggests Stroppa can make his side hard to break down. If Frendrup and Sow win the second balls, Genoa can pin Venezia back. If they don’t, a nervous home side could leave gaps in transition.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Genoa a 47% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 26% for Venezia. Expected goals: 1.5–1.0. Home advantage drives that read: Genoa beat Fiorentina at the Ferraris, while Venezia lost both away games in the run. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.0%, but with the win probabilities favouring Genoa we take their most likely winning score, 1-0, which also fits a head-to-head where goals are scarce. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Genoa 1-0 Venezia

Practical Info

• Kickoff: Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 CET (Sun 25 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sun 25 Oct) / 14:00 GMT (Sun 25 Oct)
• Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris
• Competition: Serie A, Matchday 8
• Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)

FAQ

What time is Genoa vs Venezia?

Kickoff: Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 CET (Sun 25 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sun 25 Oct) / 14:00 GMT (Sun 25 Oct)

Where is Genoa vs Venezia being played?

Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris

How can I watch Genoa vs Venezia on TV?

Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)

Who won the last meeting between Genoa and Venezia?

Genoa won the most recent meeting 2-0 at home on 17 February 2025.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Venezia?

We predict Genoa 1-0 Venezia. Genoa have the stronger recent home result, Venezia lost both away games in their last five, and all four recent meetings had two goals or fewer.