vs
Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.
Match Prediction
Fulham win
Draw
Hull City win
Fulham or draw
Hull City or draw
Expected goals: 2.0 – 0.5 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 13 Oct 2026, 16:52 UTC · Track record
Winless Fulham Need Points Against Hull
Fulham go into Matchday 7 bottom of the Premier League, 20th on 2 points from 6 games and still without a league win. Hull City arrive at Craven Cottage 8th on 9 points, so the visitors sit 12 places and 7 points clear of their hosts. For Arbeloa’s side, this is a home game that has to produce a win before the gap at the bottom starts to harden.
The State of Fulham
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Fulham’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Ipswich | Away | L 1-2 | Premier League |
| 20 Sep | Manchester United | Home | D 1-1 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Liverpool | Away | D 0-0 | Premier League |
| 5 Sep | Crystal Palace | Home | L 2-3 | Premier League |
| 30 Aug | Sunderland | Away | L 0-1 | Premier League |
Fulham have no win in their last five: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost, with 4 scored and 7 conceded. The 0-0 away at Liverpool showed they can hold a shape against elite opposition. The defeat that followed hurt more: a 1-2 loss away at Ipswich, against a side Fulham would have marked down as a target. Defending is not the main issue. Across those five games they failed to score twice, and their home form is just 1 draw and 1 defeat. The Cottage crowd will want more urgency in the final third. Fulham have the ball often enough, but too few attacks have ended in a goal.
The State of Hull City
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Hull City’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Everton | Home | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 19 Sep | Newcastle | Away | L 1-2 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Chelsea | Away | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 5 Sep | Aston Villa | Home | D 0-0 | Premier League |
| 29 Aug | Coventry City | Away | W 1-0 | Premier League |
Sergej Jakirović has made Hull very hard to beat. Their last five read 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost, with 6 scored, 6 conceded and 2 clean sheets. The 2-2 draw away at Chelsea shows the Tigers can stay level with stronger squads away from home. Their latest game was another 2-2, at home to Everton. The warning sign is that Hull are now without a win in four. Their away record in this run (1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost) suggests they will be comfortable sitting compact and waiting for Fulham to overcommit.
Head-to-Head
Fulham won all three recent meetings, and Hull failed to score in any of them. The only one of those games played at Craven Cottage ended Fulham 2-0 Hull City on 21 August 2021. The most recent meeting was a 1-0 Fulham win at Hull’s ground on 12 February 2022. All three meetings produced two goals or fewer.
👀 What to Watch
The key question is whether Fulham can break down a low block. Hull have conceded 6 in five games and kept two clean sheets, so they will not leave much space. If Fulham score first, Hull must come out, and the game opens up in the hosts’ favour. If the score stays level past the hour, the pressure on the bottom club grows with every misplaced pass.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Fulham a 74% chance of winning, 19% for a draw and 7% for Hull City. Expected goals: 2.0–0.5. That reading leans heavily on Fulham’s clean head-to-head record and home advantage. Given Fulham’s poor finishing and Hull’s stubborn form, we think the model overstates the margin, but we still agree with the home win. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Fulham 2-0 Hull City
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 17 Oct)
- Venue: Craven Cottage
- Competition: Premier League, Matchday 7
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)
FAQ
- What time is Fulham vs Hull City?
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 17 Oct)
- Where is Fulham vs Hull City being played?
- Venue: Craven Cottage
- How can I watch Fulham vs Hull City on TV?
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Fulham and Hull City?
- Fulham won 1-0 at Hull's ground on 12 February 2022. Fulham have won each of the last three meetings, and Hull did not score in any of them.
- What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Hull City?
- Our prediction is Fulham 2-0 Hull City. Fulham have kept Hull scoreless in all three recent meetings, and they have home advantage.