vs
Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.
Match Prediction
Charlton win
Draw
Norwich win
Charlton or draw
Norwich or draw
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.3 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 21 Oct 2026, 05:43 UTC · Track record
Norwich Arrive at The Valley Bleeding Points
Charlton go into the round 17th on 14 points from 11 games, with Norwich 21st on 9. The home side sit four places and five points clear, and Norwich come to south-east London on five straight defeats. Nathan Jones has the chance to end a winless run against a side in deeper trouble. Philippe Clement needs a result before the bottom of the table closes over his team.
The State of Charlton
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Charlton’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Watford | Away | L 0-2 | Championship |
| 13 Oct | Burnley | Away | D 2-2 | Championship |
| 10 Oct | Bristol City | Home | D 1-1 | Championship |
| 19 Sep | Cardiff | Away | L 1-3 | Championship |
| 12 Sep | Portsmouth | Home | D 0-0 | Championship |
Charlton have no win in five: 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their latest result was a 0-2 loss away at Watford. Before that, they drew 2-2 away at Burnley, which shows this team can stay in games against stronger opposition. The Valley has not been a fortress lately: two home games, two draws. Jones’s teams are built to be hard to break down, and they lean on structure, physical duels and set pieces more than on possession. The problem is the other end. Charlton failed to score in 2 of those 5 games, and a side that plays this way needs its chances to count.
The State of Norwich
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Norwich’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Portsmouth | Home | L 0-1 | Championship |
| 14 Oct | Southampton | Home | L 0-1 | Championship |
| 10 Oct | Swansea | Away | L 1-2 | Championship |
| 20 Sep | Bolton | Home | L 3-4 | Championship |
| 12 Sep | Middlesbrough | Away | L 3-4 | Championship |
Norwich have lost all five: 7 scored, 12 conceded, no clean sheet. The pattern has changed during the run, though. They lost 3-4 away at Middlesbrough and 3-4 at home to Bolton, games that were open and chaotic. Then came three one-goal defeats, ending with 0-1 at home to Portsmouth. Clement seems to have tightened the defence, but the attack has gone quiet: Norwich blanked in 2 of the 5. Every home game in the run was lost, so a trip away from Carrow Road may ease some of the pressure.
Head-to-Head
Norwich won both recent meetings, each by a single goal. They won 1-0 at Carrow Road on 26 December 2025, then 1-0 at The Valley on 21 March 2026 (Charlton 0-1 Norwich). Charlton did not score in either game.
👀 What to Watch
Charlton’s direct play against a Norwich defence that has not kept a clean sheet in five. If Jones’s side gets the ball into the box early and often, Norwich’s back line will face the test it keeps failing. At the other end, Norwich must find a way past a compact home block when their own attack has scored once in their last three games.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Charlton a 35% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 37% for Norwich. Expected goals: 1.2–1.3. Norwich’s head-to-head edge balances out Charlton’s better recent form and home record of draws, and two shaky attacks point to a tight game. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Charlton 1-1 Norwich
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC / 12:30 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 7:30 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 13:30 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Venue: The Valley
- Competition: Championship, Matchday 12
- Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)
FAQ
- What time is Charlton vs Norwich?
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC / 12:30 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 7:30 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 13:30 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Where is Charlton vs Norwich being played?
- Venue: The Valley
- How can I watch Charlton vs Norwich on TV?
- Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Charlton and Norwich?
- Norwich won 1-0 at The Valley on 21 March 2026. They also won the meeting before that 1-0 at Carrow Road on 26 December 2025.
- What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Norwich?
- Our prediction is Charlton 1-1 Norwich. Both attacks have struggled in recent games, and Charlton's two recent home games both ended level.