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Match Prediction
Brentford win
Draw
Liverpool win
Brentford or draw
Liverpool or draw
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.3 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 16 Oct 2026, 16:22 UTC · Track record
Fourth Hosts Ninth in West London
Brentford go into the round 4th on 10 points from 6 games. Liverpool sit 9th on 9 points from 6. One point and five places separate them, so this is a direct test of whether Keith Andrews’ side belong near the top, and whether Andoni Iraola’s Liverpool can steady an uneven league start.
The State of Brentford
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Brentford’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Aston Villa | Away | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 18 Sep | Chelsea | Home | W 3-0 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Bournemouth | Away | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 5 Sep | Sunderland | Home | D 1-1 | Premier League |
| 30 Aug | Leeds | Away | D 1-1 | Premier League |
Brentford are unbeaten in their last five, but the record is 1 won, 4 drawn. The win was emphatic: 3-0 at home to Chelsea in the Premier League. Their latest result, a 2-2 draw away at Aston Villa, followed the pattern of the 2-2 draw away at Bournemouth, with goals at both ends. They have scored in all five of those games, 9 goals in total, and conceded 6.
Under Andrews, Brentford stay compact without the ball, attack space quickly and remain a serious threat from set pieces. The away record in this run is three draws from three. The real issue is converting draws into wins, because four of the five ended level.
The State of Liverpool
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Liverpool’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | LASK | Away | W 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| 11 Oct | Manchester City | Home | L 0-3 | Premier League |
| 20 Sep | Bournemouth | Away | W 1-0 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Fulham | Home | D 0-0 | Premier League |
| 9 Sep | Atletico Madrid | Home | W 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
Liverpool arrive with mixed signals. They lost 0-3 at home to Manchester City in the Premier League, then won 6-3 away at LASK in the Champions League. Over five games that makes 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost, with 9 scored and 7 conceded. They failed to score in two of those games.
Iraola’s teams press high and attack vertically, and the result in Austria showed how dangerous the front line is when the press wins the ball early. League output is the concern. A 0-0 draw at home to Fulham and the City defeat show a side that has not yet found steady penetration in the Premier League. Away form is the positive: two games, two wins, including 1-0 away at Bournemouth.
Head-to-Head
Liverpool lead the last 10 meetings with 6 wins to Brentford’s 2, plus 2 draws. At Brentford’s ground the record is level: of five meetings there, each side won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent visit, on 25 October 2025, finished Brentford 3-2 Liverpool. The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, ended Liverpool 1-1 Brentford at Anfield. Liverpool have scored in all 10 meetings.
👀 What to Watch
Recovery time is the first story. Liverpool played LASK on 14 October and kick off here three days later, while Brentford last played on 10 October. A pressing team on short rest is exposed if Brentford go long early and win second balls. The first 20 minutes will show whether Liverpool can press at full intensity.
The second story is Liverpool’s back line. They conceded three goals in each of their last two games, against City and LASK. Brentford have scored in every game of their run, and their set pieces will test that defence again.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Brentford a 35% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 37% for Liverpool. Expected goals: 1.2–1.3. Brentford’s habit of drawing, their even home record against this opponent and Liverpool’s short recovery time all point to a close game with chances at both ends. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Brentford 1-1 Liverpool
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 17 Oct)
- Venue: Gtech Community Stadium
- Competition: Premier League, Matchday 7
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)
FAQ
- What time is Brentford vs Liverpool?
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 17 Oct)
- Where is Brentford vs Liverpool being played?
- Venue: Gtech Community Stadium
- Who won the last meeting between Brentford and Liverpool?
- Nobody. The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, ended Liverpool 1-1 Brentford at Anfield. The last game at Brentford's ground, on 25 October 2025, ended Brentford 3-2 Liverpool.
- How can I watch Brentford vs Liverpool on TV?
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)
- What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Liverpool?
- Our prediction is Brentford 1-1 Liverpool. Brentford drew four of their last five games, and Liverpool play three days after a Champions League game, so a level game is the most likely result.