What time is Excelsior vs Groningen?

Kickoff is Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:45 CEST / 15:45 BST / 10:45 AM EDT.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Groningen?

Our model predicts Excelsior 1-1 Groningen. The two sides are level on points heading into this match, and the head-to-head record is split evenly, making a draw the likeliest single outcome.

Who won the last meeting between Excelsior and Groningen?

Excelsior won 3-2 at Groningen's ground on 2 May 2026. Before that, Groningen had won 2-0 at Excelsior's ground in December 2025.

What is Excelsior's recent form?

In their last five Eredivisie matches, Excelsior have won two (2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam, 3-0 vs Willem II), drawn two (2-2 vs NEC, 2-2 vs Ajax) and lost one (1-2 vs FC Utrecht).

Where is Excelsior vs Groningen being played?

The venue has not been officially confirmed. Excelsior are the home side. Broadcast coverage is available via regional broadcast partners; check local listings.

Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

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Match Prediction

37%
Excelsior win

28%
Draw

35%
Groningen win

Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.2 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength, recent form & H2H

Most likely scores:1–1 (13.5%)1–0 (9.8%)0–1 (9.5%)

Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.

Model v2 · Generated 21 Sep 2026, 20:21 UTC · Track record

Two Sides Level on Points, Separated by Goal Difference

Excelsior and Groningen enter Matchday 8 locked on the same points tally, separated only by goal difference. This is a match between two sides who have found enough quality to sit in the top half but lack the consistency to push higher. A win here would give the victor genuine breathing room; a draw changes nothing.

The State of Excelsior

Excelsior’s recent run tells an interesting story: a 2-1 win over Sparta Rotterdam and a 3-0 demolition of Willem II suggested Ruben den Uil’s side had found a rhythm, but draws against NEC (2-2) and Ajax (2-2) either side of a 1-2 loss to FC Utrecht have checked that momentum. The Ajax result at least showed character, but Den Uil will know that turning competitive performances against stronger opposition into points is the next step. At home, Excelsior have been difficult to break down, and that defensive organisation will be central to their approach here. The concern is at the other end: they have drawn two of their last three, and converting half-chances remains a work in progress.

The State of Groningen

Groningen’s season started badly. A 1-5 loss to PSV was followed by a 2-3 defeat to Fortuna Sittard, and Dick Lukkien’s side looked fragile. Since then, however, the trajectory has been upward: a 2-2 draw with FC Twente, a 1-1 draw at Go Ahead Eagles, and then a statement 3-0 win over PEC Zwolle. That Zwolle result was significant, because it showed Groningen can be ruthless when the opportunity arises. Lukkien has steadied the ship, and his side now travel to Rotterdam with momentum for the first time this season. The question is whether the defensive issues from August have truly been fixed or merely hidden by weaker opposition.

Head-to-Head

The last four meetings are split evenly: two wins apiece, no draws. The most recent meeting, in May 2026, saw Excelsior win 3-2 at Groningen’s ground, a result that showed they can hurt Groningen away from home. Before that, Groningen won 2-0 at Excelsior’s ground in December 2025. That result will linger in Excelsior minds. Home advantage has not been decisive in this fixture: each side has won once and lost once when hosting across the last four meetings.

👀 What to Watch

Groningen’s improving defensive structure will face its sternest test yet. Excelsior created plenty against Ajax and NEC but could not convert enough. If Lukkien sets up to absorb pressure and hit on the counter (as the Zwolle win suggests he might), Excelsior will need to be clinical in the box. The other narrative is Groningen’s confidence. Three unbeaten and a clean sheet in their last outing could embolden them to play higher up the pitch than they did in the early losses to PSV and Fortuna Sittard.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Excelsior a 37% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 35% for Groningen. Expected goals: 1.3–1.2. That near-coin-flip assessment reflects how closely matched these sides are on points and recent trajectory. Excelsior’s home advantage is offset by Groningen’s improving form, and the head-to-head record offers no tiebreaker. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Excelsior 1-1 Groningen

Practical Info

Kickoff: 16:45 CEST (Sun 11 Oct) / 15:45 BST (Sun 11 Oct) / 10:45 AM EDT (Sun 11 Oct). Venue has not been confirmed. Broadcast: available via regional broadcast partners, check local listings.

FAQ

What time is Excelsior vs Groningen?: Kickoff is Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:45 CEST / 15:45 BST / 10:45 AM EDT.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Groningen?: Our model predicts Excelsior 1-1 Groningen. The two sides are level on points heading into this match, and the head-to-head record is split evenly, making a draw the likeliest single outcome.
Who won the last meeting between Excelsior and Groningen?: Excelsior won 3-2 at Groningen's ground on 2 May 2026. Before that, Groningen had won 2-0 at Excelsior's ground in December 2025.
What is Excelsior's recent form?: In their last five Eredivisie matches, Excelsior have won two (2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam, 3-0 vs Willem II), drawn two (2-2 vs NEC, 2-2 vs Ajax) and lost one (1-2 vs FC Utrecht).
Where is Excelsior vs Groningen being played?: The venue has not been officially confirmed. Excelsior are the home side. Broadcast coverage is available via regional broadcast partners; check local listings.