What time is Benfica vs Vitória?

Kickoff is at 18:00 WEST (Sunday 11 October), which is 18:00 BST or 1:00 PM EDT.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Vitória?

Our model predicts Benfica 2-0 Vitória. Benfica have won all five home meetings in the last ten head-to-head fixtures, and Vitória's poor recent form offers little reason to expect a different result.

Who won the last meeting between Benfica and Vitória?

Benfica won 3-0 at home on 21 March 2026. It continued a dominant run: Benfica have won eight of the last ten meetings between the sides.

Where is Benfica vs Vitória being played?

The venue has not been officially confirmed yet. Benfica's home ground is the Estádio da Luz in Lisbon.

How can I watch Benfica vs Vitória?

The match is available via regional broadcast partners. Check your local listings for coverage details in your area.

Benfica vs Vitória Prediction: Primeira Liga 2026/27

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Match Prediction

83%
Benfica win

14%
Draw

3%
Vitória win

Expected goals: 2.2 – 0.2 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength, recent form & H2H

Most likely scores:2–0 (20.7%)1–0 (18.2%)3–0 (15.5%)

Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.

Model v2 · Generated 21 Sep 2026, 20:21 UTC · Track record

Benfica Look to Bounce Back Against Familiar Victims

Benfica welcome Vitória SC to Lisbon on Sunday looking to respond after a 1-3 home defeat to FC Porto last weekend. The visitors arrive in poor form and face a head-to-head record that offers them almost nothing: Benfica have won eight of the last ten meetings, with Vitória failing to win any.

The State of Benfica

The Porto loss was a jolt. Before it, Marco Silva’s side had been ruthless: 2-1 over Estoril Praia, 3-0 against Marítimo, 4-0 past Moreirense, and 3-1 against Gil Vicente. That run showed a team that could score freely and control matches. The defeat exposed defensive vulnerabilities when pressed by elite opposition, but Vitória are not that calibre of opponent right now. Benfica’s attack has been prolific in league play, and the Estádio da Luz crowd will expect an immediate reaction. Silva will likely revert to the high-tempo, possession-heavy approach that dismantled weaker sides earlier in the campaign.

The State of Vitória

Tiago Margarido’s Vitória are stuck. A 1-0 win over Nacional on the opening weekend remains their only victory. Since then: a 0-1 loss to Braga, a goalless draw with Casa Pia, a 1-2 home defeat to Académico de Viseu, and a 1-1 draw with Moreirense last time out. Goals are hard to come by, and the defence leaks at awkward moments. The Viseu defeat was particularly damaging for confidence. Travelling to Lisbon in this state is about as tough an assignment as the fixture list offers.

Head-to-Head

The numbers are stark. In the last ten meetings, Benfica have won eight and drawn two. Vitória have not won once. In the most recent clash (March 2026), Benfica won 3-0 at home. Before that, a 3-0 away win in November 2025 and another 3-0 away in April 2025. Benfica have scored three or more goals in seven of those ten meetings. In five matches hosted by Benfica, the home side won all five. Vitória scored in only three of the ten fixtures. This is about as one-sided a fixture as exists in Portuguese football.

👀 What to Watch

The key question is whether Benfica’s defence can reset after the Porto loss. Against Vitória’s blunt attack, this should be a straightforward afternoon, but the psychological residue of conceding three at home could linger. Watch how aggressively Benfica press in the opening 15 minutes: if they come out with the same intensity they showed against Moreirense and Marítimo, Vitória will struggle to get out of their own half. For Vitória, the game plan will be damage limitation and quick transitions, hoping to catch Benfica overcommitting forward.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Benfica a 83% chance of winning, 14% for a draw and 3% for Vitória. Expected goals: 2.2–0.2.

The head-to-head record makes this feel almost inevitable. Benfica have won all five home meetings in the sample, often by wide margins, and Vitória’s current form gives no reason to expect a different outcome. The only question is the margin. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Benfica 2-0 Vitória

Practical Info

Kickoff: 18:00 WEST (Sun 11 Oct) / 18:00 BST (Sun 11 Oct) / 1:00 PM EDT (Sun 11 Oct). Venue not yet confirmed. Broadcast: available via regional broadcast partners, check local listings.

FAQ

What time is Benfica vs Vitória?: Kickoff is at 18:00 WEST (Sunday 11 October), which is 18:00 BST or 1:00 PM EDT.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Vitória?: Our model predicts Benfica 2-0 Vitória. Benfica have won all five home meetings in the last ten head-to-head fixtures, and Vitória's poor recent form offers little reason to expect a different result.
Who won the last meeting between Benfica and Vitória?: Benfica won 3-0 at home on 21 March 2026. It continued a dominant run: Benfica have won eight of the last ten meetings between the sides.
Where is Benfica vs Vitória being played?: The venue has not been officially confirmed yet. Benfica's home ground is the Estádio da Luz in Lisbon.
How can I watch Benfica vs Vitória?: The match is available via regional broadcast partners. Check your local listings for coverage details in your area.