Como vs Roma Prediction: Serie A 2026/27 Matchday 6

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Model v2 · Generated 21 Sep 2026, 19:10 UTC · Track record

Como’s Winning Run Meets Roma’s Unbeaten Start

Como welcome Roma to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia with both sides in strong early-season form. Como come off a first league defeat of the campaign, a 0-2 loss to Frosinone. Roma arrive unbeaten in the league so far this season, though they drew 2-2 with Inter in their last outing. Something has to give at the lakeside.

The State of Como

Fàbregas has built something real at Como. Before that Frosinone loss, they had rattled off four straight wins across Serie A and the Champions League: 2-1 over Napoli, 4-1 against Genoa, 4-1 against RB Leipzig in Europe, and 2-1 against Parma. The attacking output has been remarkable. Luis Milla and Luca Mazzitelli give the midfield a combination of control and creativity, while Yan Couto provides width and crossing quality from the right. Trevoh Chalobah anchors a defence that looked solid until the Frosinone blank. The question now is whether that loss was a blip or a sign that opponents have found a way to nullify Como’s high-tempo approach. Playing at the compact Sinigaglia, where the atmosphere runs hot, favours the hosts.

The State of Roma

Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma have been clinical. A 4-0 dismantling of Lecce, a 2-1 win over Atalanta (his former club), and a 2-0 win against Torino show a side that controls games and finishes chances. The 2-2 draw at Inter was no embarrassment; if anything, it underlined Roma’s ability to compete at the highest level. The 1-1 draw against Fenerbahçe in the Champions League was a less convincing night, but squad rotation likely played a part. Mile Svilar has been dependable in goal. Evan N’Dicka and Gianluca Mancini form a reliable centre-back pairing, while Nahuel Molina offers overlapping runs that stretch opposing defences. Wesley provides pace and directness in the final third.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has been tight. In their last four meetings, Como and Roma have split the results evenly: two wins each, zero draws. Notably, the home side has won both times at the Sinigaglia (2-0 in December 2024 and 2-1 in March 2026), while Roma took both matches at their own ground. That home advantage pattern is worth noting. Neither side has scored more than two goals in any of these meetings, and only two of the four produced more than two total goals.

👀 What to Watch

The matchup between Yan Couto and whoever Gasperini deploys on Roma’s left could decide this game. Couto’s forward runs have been a consistent source of danger for Como, and Roma’s shape in transition will need to account for that threat without leaving space centrally for Mazzitelli and Milla. On the other side, Wesley’s directness against Dossena and Kempf will test Como’s defensive discipline after the Frosinone shutout exposed some fragility.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Como a 37% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 34% for Roma. Expected goals: 1.3–1.2.

The head-to-head pattern is hard to ignore: the home side has won both meetings at the Sinigaglia. Como’s Frosinone loss may sharpen their focus rather than dent confidence, and Fàbregas’s side have the attacking tools to edge a tight game at home. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%, but with the win probabilities slightly favouring Como, we take their most likely winning score, 1-0. These are model projections for informational purposes only, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Como 1-0 Roma

Practical Info

Kickoff: 12:30 CEST (Sun 11 Oct) / 6:30 AM EDT (Sun 11 Oct) / 11:30 BST (Sun 11 Oct). Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Where to watch: DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK).

FAQ

What time is Como vs Roma?

Kickoff is at 12:30 CEST (Sun 11 Oct), which is 6:30 AM EDT or 11:30 BST on the same day.

Where is Como vs Roma being played?

The match takes place at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como's home ground on the shores of Lake Como.

Who won the last meeting between Como and Roma?

Como won 2-1 at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on 15 March 2026.

What is the predicted score for Como vs Roma?

Our prediction is Como 1-0 Roma. The home side has won both previous meetings at the Sinigaglia, and Como's attacking form before their Frosinone loss suggests they can edge a tight contest.

How can I watch Como vs Roma on TV?

The match is broadcast on DAZN in Italy and TNT Sports in the UK.