Ipswich vs Fulham Prediction: Premier League 2026/27

Ipswich crestvsFulham crest

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Match Prediction

25%
Ipswich win
27%
Draw
47%
Fulham win

Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.5  |  Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength, recent form & H2H

Most likely scores:1–1 (13.0%)0–1 (11.5%)1–2 (9.2%)

Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.

Model v2 · Generated 21 Sep 2026, 19:01 UTC · Track record

Fulham’s Search for a First Win Arrives at Portman Road

Fulham travel to Portman Road still without a league win this season, while Ipswich have been inconsistent but at least know how to pick up three points. This is the kind of fixture where both clubs need the result more than the performance: Ipswich to stop a slide after losing to Everton, Fulham to avoid the early-season anxiety that comes with no victories from the opening five rounds.

The State of Ipswich

Ipswich’s season so far reads like a team that can compete but cannot sustain it. A 2-1 win over Sunderland and a 3-2 comeback against Crystal Palace show attacking intent, but a 5-2 defeat to Manchester United and losses to Liverpool and Everton reveal defensive fragility. They concede too often and too easily. At Portman Road, that matters: Ipswich need this ground to be a fortress, and so far it has not been one. Dara O’Shea and Issa Diop anchor the backline, but the goals-against column suggests the protection in front of them is insufficient. Saša Lukić and Exequiel Palacios offer quality in central midfield, yet the balance between contributing going forward and screening the defence remains a work in progress. Leif Davis provides width and delivery from the left, a genuine creative outlet.

The State of Fulham

Fulham’s situation is more urgent. Five matches, zero wins, just two draws (against Liverpool and Manchester United, notably) and three defeats. They have shown they can stay in games against strong opposition, holding Liverpool to 0-0 and drawing 1-1 with Manchester United. But they cannot beat the sides they ought to be competing directly with, losing to Sunderland and Crystal Palace. Bernd Leno remains a reliable presence in goal. Joachim Andersen and Calvin Bassey form a centre-back pairing that has kept Fulham in matches their attacking play might have lost. Sander Berge gives them physicality and ball-winning ability in midfield, while Antonee Robinson continues to be one of the league’s most dynamic full-backs. The issue is not individual quality; it is converting chances and finding a cutting edge.

Head-to-Head

These two drew both meetings last season. At Portman Road, it finished 1-1; at Craven Cottage, 2-2. Neither side has found a way to beat the other recently, and the pattern of tight, shared contests fits the profile of two evenly matched squads.

👀 What to Watch

The matchup between Antonee Robinson and whoever Ipswich deploy on their right side could be decisive. Robinson’s overlapping runs have been one of Fulham’s primary creative outlets, and Ipswich’s defensive issues on the flanks have been a recurring theme. If Robinson gets space to deliver, Fulham’s aerial presence from set pieces and crosses becomes a real weapon. Equally, Exequiel Palacios’s passing range for Ipswich could exploit the gaps Fulham leave when their full-backs push high. If Palacios finds Leif Davis in space on the opposite flank, Ipswich can create overloads.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Ipswich a 25% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 47% for Fulham. Expected goals: 1.0–1.5.

Fulham’s probability edge reflects Ipswich’s defensive vulnerability and the visitors’ ability to stay competitive against stronger sides. The head-to-head draws suggest a tight game, and 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.0%, but with the win probabilities favouring Fulham we take their most likely winning score, 0-1. Fulham’s defensive solidity in their recent draws against Liverpool and Manchester United points to an ability to grind out a result when the attacking output is low. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Ipswich 0-1 Fulham

Practical Info

Kickoff: 15:00 BST (Sat 10 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 10 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 10 Oct). Venue: Portman Road. Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US).

FAQ

What time is Ipswich vs Fulham?
Kickoff is at 15:00 BST (Saturday 10 October), which is 10:00 AM EDT and 16:00 CEST.
Where is Ipswich vs Fulham being played?
The match takes place at Portman Road, Ipswich's home ground.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Fulham?
Our model predicts Ipswich 0-1 Fulham. Fulham hold a 47% win probability, and their recent defensive solidity in draws against Liverpool and Manchester United suggests they can secure a narrow away victory.
Who won the last meeting between Ipswich and Fulham?
Neither side won. Their last two meetings both ended in draws: 2-2 at Fulham's ground in January 2025, and 1-1 at Portman Road in August 2024.
How can I watch Ipswich vs Fulham on TV?
In the UK, coverage is available on Sky Sports, TNT Sports and BBC Match of the Day. In the US, the match is on NBC Sports and Peacock.

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