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Match Prediction
Como win
Draw
Sassuolo win
Como or draw
Sassuolo or draw
Expected goals: 1.8 – 0.7 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 23 Oct 2026, 05:53 UTC · Track record
Como Return From Europe Chasing the Top Four
Como go into Matchday 8 fifth on 14 points from seven games. They sit six points and eight places above Sassuolo, who are 13th on 8 points. Fàbregas’s side arrive at the Sinigaglia on two straight wins, and Sassuolo come to Lake Como without a win in their last three.
The State of Como
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Como’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Manchester United | Home | W 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| 18 Oct | Fiorentina | Away | W 3-1 | Serie A |
| 14 Oct | Feyenoord | Away | L 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| 11 Oct | Roma | Home | D 0-0 | Serie A |
| 20 Sep | Frosinone | Away | L 0-2 | Serie A |
Two results set the mood. Como won 4-1 at home to Manchester United in the Champions League, and before that they won 3-1 away at Fiorentina in Serie A. Across their last five games they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded. They are unbeaten at home in that run (1 won, 1 drawn).
The concern is consistency in front of goal: Como failed to score in 2 of those five games. Fàbregas wants a possession side that builds patiently and presses high to win the ball back. That style costs energy, and this game comes three days after a European night. Expect rotation, and watch whether the second string keeps the same tempo.
The State of Sassuolo
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Sassuolo’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Frosinone | Away | L 2-4 | Serie A |
| 11 Oct | Milan | Home | D 1-1 | Serie A |
| 18 Sep | Monza | Away | L 1-2 | Serie A |
| 13 Sep | Juventus | Home | W 3-2 | Serie A |
| 6 Sep | Bologna | Away | D 2-2 | Serie A |
Sassuolo can hurt anyone, and they can also be hurt by anyone. They won 3-2 at home to Juventus in Serie A, but their latest outing was a 2-4 loss away at Frosinone. Over five games: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 9 scored and 11 conceded. They scored in every one of those games and kept no clean sheets.
The away record is the problem for Alberto Aquilani: 0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost on the road in that sample. His side commit numbers forward and leave space behind.
Head-to-Head
The last two meetings finished one win each. On 28 November 2025, Como beat Sassuolo 2-0 at Como’s ground. On 17 April 2026, Sassuolo won 2-1 at home. Como have won the only meeting of the two staged at their ground.
👀 What to Watch
The key duel is Como’s press against Sassuolo’s willingness to play out. Sassuolo have scored in every game of their run, so they will not sit deep. If Como win the ball high, the gaps that Frosinone exploited will open again. If Como’s rotated side drops off, Sassuolo have the attacking intent to punish a tired back line.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Como a 64% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 13% for Sassuolo. Expected goals: 1.8–0.7. Como’s home form and Sassuolo’s poor away record drive that read. The European fatigue is the reason a tight margin looks more likely than a rout. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Como 1-0 Sassuolo
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC / 15:00 CEST (Sat 24 Oct) / 9:00 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 14:00 BST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
- Competition: Serie A, Matchday 8
- Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)
FAQ
- What time is Como vs Sassuolo?
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC / 15:00 CEST (Sat 24 Oct) / 9:00 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 14:00 BST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Where is Como vs Sassuolo being played?
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
- Where can I watch Como vs Sassuolo on TV?
- Where to watch: DAZN & Sky (Italy) / DAZN & TNT Sports (UK)
- Who won the last meeting between Como and Sassuolo?
- Sassuolo won the most recent meeting 2-1 at their own ground on 17 April 2026. Como won the meeting before that 2-0 at home on 28 November 2025.
- What is the predicted score for Como vs Sassuolo?
- Our prediction is Como 1-0 Sassuolo. Como are stronger at home, but a quick turnaround after their Champions League game points to a narrow margin.