Lincoln City vs Burnley Prediction: Championship 2026/27

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Model v2 · Generated 21 Oct 2026, 05:48 UTC · Track record

Bottom-Half Pressure Lands at Sincil Bank

This is the last game of Championship Matchday 12, and it matters at the bottom of the table. Lincoln City go into the round 18th on 12 points from 11 games. Burnley sit 22nd on 8 points from the same number, four places and four points behind their hosts. A club with recent Premier League history is in the bottom three, and it travels to a ground where the home side has not been able to hold teams off this autumn.

The State of Lincoln City

Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Lincoln City’s goals first):

Date	Opponent	Venue	Result	Competition
17 Oct	Millwall	Away	D 2-2	Championship
14 Oct	West Ham	Home	L 0-6	Championship
10 Oct	Sheffield United	Away	L 0-3	Championship
19 Sep	Swansea	Home	L 1-2	Championship
15 Sep	Bristol City	Away	W 1-0	Championship

Lincoln’s step up to this level has turned rough. They are without a win in their last four, and they conceded 13 goals across their last five games. The low point came when they lost 0-6 at home to West Ham. That was the second of two home defeats in this run. Then they showed some resistance and drew 2-2 away at Millwall. That point at The Den matters because it came from a side that had just been taken apart.

The Imps are at their best when they keep games compact and turn Sincil Bank into a hostile, direct contest. Recently the problem has not been effort. The problem has been how easily the back line is pulled apart once opponents get the ball wide. Two blanks in five also show how thin the chance creation is when they cannot dominate set pieces and second balls.

The State of Burnley

Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Burnley’s goals first):

Date	Opponent	Venue	Result	Competition
16 Oct	Wolves	Home	L 1-2	Championship
13 Oct	Charlton	Home	D 2-2	Championship
10 Oct	Watford	Away	W 4-0	Championship
19 Sep	Derby	Home	D 1-1	Championship
12 Sep	Swansea	Away	L 1-3	Championship

Nicky Hayen’s Burnley are hard to read. Their 4-0 win away at Watford showed what this squad can do in open space. Then they lost 1-2 at home to Wolves, and that leaves them without a win in their last two. They scored in every one of their last five games, nine goals in total. They also conceded eight, so the defensive structure gives back much of what the attack produces.

The pattern at Turf Moor is the worry: three home games in this run, no wins. Away from home they have looked freer. That suits a trip to a Lincoln side that has given away chances in transition.

Head-to-Head

These clubs have rarely met in the league in recent seasons, so their head-to-head record offers little guide to this fixture.

👀 What to Watch

Watch Lincoln’s full-backs against Burnley’s wide threat. West Ham and Sheffield United both hurt Lincoln by moving the ball quickly into the channels. Burnley did the same to Watford. If Lincoln defend deep and narrow, they invite crosses. If they push up, they leave space behind. The first 20 minutes will show which risk the home side has chosen. The second story is Burnley’s game management. They let leads and level games slip against Charlton and Wolves, and Sincil Bank will get louder the longer this stays tight.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Lincoln City a 27% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 45% for Burnley. Expected goals: 1.1–1.4. Burnley’s attack has scored in every game of this run, and Lincoln’s home defence has leaked goals, so the visitors have the edge. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.1%, but with the win probabilities favouring Burnley we take their most likely winning score, 0-1. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Lincoln City 0-1 Burnley

Practical Info

• Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)
• Venue: Sincil Bank Stadium
• Competition: Championship, Matchday 12
• Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)

FAQ

What time is Lincoln City vs Burnley?

Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)

Where is Lincoln City vs Burnley being played?

Venue: Sincil Bank Stadium

How can I watch Lincoln City vs Burnley on TV?

Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)

What is the predicted score for Lincoln City vs Burnley?

Our prediction is Lincoln City 0-1 Burnley. Burnley have scored in each of their last five games, and Lincoln lost both of their recent home games.

Where are Lincoln City and Burnley in the Championship table?

Before this round, Lincoln City were 18th on 12 points and Burnley were 22nd on 8 points, both from 11 games.