vs
Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.
Match Prediction
Chelsea win
Draw
Tottenham win
Chelsea or draw
Tottenham or draw
Expected goals: 1.5 – 1.0 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 20 Oct 2026, 20:34 UTC · Track record
A London Derby, Seven Points Apart
Chelsea go into Matchday 8 fourth on 13 points from seven games. Tottenham sit 16th on 6 points from seven. That leaves 12 places and seven points between the clubs before kickoff at Stamford Bridge. For Roberto De Zerbi’s side, this is a derby at the ground of a club that has won the last six meetings, and it comes during a fragile start.
The State of Chelsea
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Chelsea’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Everton | Away | W 2-0 | Premier League |
| 10 Oct | Bournemouth | Home | W 5-1 | Premier League |
| 18 Sep | Brentford | Away | L 0-3 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Hull City | Home | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 6 Sep | Arsenal | Away | L 1-2 | Premier League |
Xabi Alonso’s side arrive on two straight wins, the latest 2-0 away at Everton in the Premier League. The 5-1 win at home to Bournemouth showed how high this team can go: 10 goals scored across the five games, with 8 conceded. The low point is just as clear. The same run includes a 0-3 loss away at Brentford, and one clean sheet in five shows a defence that still leaks. At home in this run they won once and drew once. Alonso’s teams usually control games through patient possession and overloads out wide. That suits Stamford Bridge against an opponent that also wants the ball.
The State of Tottenham
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Tottenham’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Coventry City | Home | W 3-1 | Premier League |
| 10 Oct | Manchester United | Away | D 1-1 | Premier League |
| 19 Sep | Aston Villa | Home | L 2-3 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Everton | Home | D 0-0 | Premier League |
| 5 Sep | Nottingham Forest | Away | D 0-0 | Premier League |
One win, three draws and one loss describe a team that is hard to beat and slow to score. Goalless draws away at Nottingham Forest and at home to Everton came before a 2-3 loss at home to Aston Villa. The 3-1 win at home to Coventry City is the bright spot. Even so, six goals in five games is thin for a club with Tottenham’s ambitions. Away from home they drew both games in this run, including 1-1 away at Manchester United. De Zerbi’s sides build patiently from the goalkeeper and invite pressure so they can play through it. That approach carries real risk against a Chelsea side that has scored freely at home.
Head-to-Head
Recent meetings have gone heavily one way. Chelsea have won seven of the last nine, Tottenham one, and one finished level. The most recent was a 2-1 Chelsea win at Stamford Bridge on 19 May 2026 in the Premier League. In the last five meetings at Chelsea’s ground, Tottenham have not won: Chelsea took four and one was drawn. Tottenham’s only win in this sample was 2-0 at home on 26 February 2023.
👀 What to Watch
The main contest is Tottenham’s build-up against Chelsea’s first line of pressure. If Spurs pass through it cleanly, they can find room behind Chelsea’s midfield. The 0-3 loss away at Brentford shows how quickly this Chelsea defence can come apart. If Chelsea win the ball high, Tottenham’s patient style turns into a liability.
The second story is Tottenham’s attack. They failed to score in two of their five games. One goal at Stamford Bridge may not be enough.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Chelsea a 50% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 23% for Tottenham. Expected goals: 1.5–1.0. Chelsea’s home form and their dominance in this fixture drive that read, set against a Tottenham attack that has struggled to score. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 12.7%. Because the win probabilities favour Chelsea, we take their most likely winning score, 1-0. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC / 17:30 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 18:30 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
- Competition: Premier League, Matchday 8
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)
FAQ
- What time is Chelsea vs Tottenham?
- Kickoff: Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC / 17:30 BST (Sat 24 Oct) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sat 24 Oct) / 18:30 CEST (Sat 24 Oct)
- Where is Chelsea vs Tottenham being played?
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
- What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
- Our prediction is Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham. Chelsea are favoured at home, and Tottenham failed to score in two of their last five games.
- Who won the last meeting between Chelsea and Tottenham?
- Chelsea won 2-1 at Stamford Bridge on 19 May 2026. Chelsea have won the last six meetings between the clubs.
- How can I watch Chelsea vs Tottenham on TV?
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)