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Match Prediction
West Brom win
Draw
Blackburn win
West Brom or draw
Blackburn or draw
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.1 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 14 Oct 2026, 06:32 UTC · Track record
Fourth Hosts Seventh at The Hawthorns
West Brom go into the round 4th on 17 points from 10 games, two points and three places clear of Blackburn, who sit 7th on 15. This closes Matchday 11 and puts two clubs chasing the top six in direct contact. Rovers arrive on two straight wins, while Albion’s last two home games produced a draw and a defeat.
The State of West Brom
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows West Brom’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct | Wrexham | Away | W 2-1 | Championship |
| 10 Oct | Birmingham | Home | L 0-1 | Championship |
| 20 Sep | Wolves | Away | L 0-1 | Championship |
| 12 Sep | QPR | Home | D 1-1 | Championship |
| 9 Sep | Derby | Away | W 1-0 | Championship |
James Morrison’s side have been better travellers than hosts in this run. They won twice on the road but did not win either home game, and the low point was a 0-1 loss at home to Birmingham. They answered by winning 2-1 away at Wrexham in the Championship. Four scored and four conceded across five games describes a tight, low-margin team, and two blanks in that run are the real concern.
Jayson Molumby sets the tempo in midfield, covering ground and winning the ball back in front of Chris Mepham and Nathaniel Phillips. Isaac Price and Ousmane Diakité must supply the invention between the lines, with Callum Styles and Conor Townsend adding width and delivery from the left.
The State of Blackburn
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Blackburn’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct | Bristol City | Away | W 1-0 | Championship |
| 10 Oct | Cardiff | Home | W 2-1 | Championship |
| 19 Sep | Portsmouth | Away | D 2-2 | Championship |
| 12 Sep | Millwall | Home | W 3-1 | Championship |
| 8 Sep | Sheffield United | Home | L 1-2 | Championship |
Tony Mowbray’s Rovers are unbeaten in four, with three wins from five and nine goals scored. They won 2-1 at home to Cardiff and then 1-0 away at Bristol City in the Championship, the second a sign that this side can grind out an away result as well as play. They scored in every one of those five games.
Sam Morsy and Adam Forshaw bring experience and control to the middle. Todd Cantwell and Ryoya Morishita carry the craft in the final third, and both like to receive the ball in tight spaces and turn.
Head-to-Head
Nothing separates these clubs over the last ten meetings: three wins each and four draws. Six of those ten games produced two goals or fewer. The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Blackburn 0-0 West Brom at Ewood Park. Albion won 1-0 at The Hawthorns on 9 August 2025, but Rovers won 0-2 on the same ground on 12 February 2025.
👀 What to Watch
Morsy against Molumby is the duel that sets the temperature. Whoever wins the second balls decides which team plays in the other half. Behind that, watch Cantwell drifting into the gap between Albion’s full-back and centre-back. If Mepham or Phillips steps out to follow him, Morishita can attack the space left behind. Albion’s home struggles come when they must make the play, so a patient Rovers block suits the visitors.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives West Brom a 44% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 28% for Blackburn. Expected goals: 1.4–1.1. Home advantage and Albion’s solid defensive base tilt the read their way, though Blackburn’s form makes that edge narrow. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.2%, but with the win probabilities favouring West Brom we take their most likely winning score, 1-0. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: West Brom 1-0 Blackburn
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 17 Oct)
- Venue: The Hawthorns
- Competition: Championship, Matchday 11
- Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)
FAQ
- What time is West Brom vs Blackburn?
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 15:00 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 17 Oct)
- Where is West Brom vs Blackburn being played?
- Venue: The Hawthorns
- How can I watch West Brom vs Blackburn on TV?
- Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)
- Who won the last meeting between West Brom and Blackburn?
- Nobody. The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, ended Blackburn 0-0 West Brom at Ewood Park. West Brom won the meeting before that 1-0 at The Hawthorns on 9 August 2025.
- What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Blackburn?
- Our prediction is West Brom 1-0 Blackburn. Home advantage gives Albion a slight edge in a fixture that has usually been low scoring.