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Match Prediction
Deportivo win
Draw
Levante win
Deportivo or draw
Levante or draw
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.2 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 14 Oct 2026, 06:04 UTC · Track record
Riazor Opens Matchday 9 Without a Win
Deportivo vs Levante opens Matchday 9 of La Liga on Friday night at Abanca-Riazor, and both clubs arrive without a win in their last four. Deportivo go into the round 8th on 10 points from 8 games. Levante sit 17th on 6 points from 7, four points and nine places behind their hosts, with a game in hand.
The State of Deportivo
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Deportivo’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Real Sociedad | Away | L 2-3 | Primera Division |
| 20 Sep | Real Betis | Home | D 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 16 Sep | Sevilla | Home | L 0-1 | Primera Division |
| 13 Sep | Getafe | Away | D 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 5 Sep | Villarreal | Away | W 3-2 | Primera Division |
Antonio Hidalgo’s side have collected points steadily without turning draws into wins. Over their last five league games they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. They have not kept a clean sheet in that run. Their only win came on the road: they won 3-2 away at Villarreal. Their most recent outing showed the same pattern. They lost 2-3 away at Real Sociedad, a game where they scored twice and still left with nothing.
The bigger worry is Riazor. Deportivo have played 2 home games in this run and won neither, with 1 draw and 1 loss. Against Sevilla they lost 0-1 at home, their one blank in the five. A home crowd that expects its team to take the game on will want a far sharper start than that.
The State of Levante
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Levante’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct | Sevilla | Home | D 3-3 | Primera Division |
| 20 Sep | Villarreal | Away | L 1-3 | Primera Division |
| 13 Sep | Barcelona | Home | L 2-4 | Primera Division |
| 6 Sep | Málaga | Away | D 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 29 Aug | Real Betis | Home | W 5-2 | Primera Division |
Luís Castro’s Levante play games that stay open at both ends. They have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five, with 11 goals scored and 12 conceded. They won 5-2 at home to Real Betis, then shared six goals when they drew 3-3 at home to Sevilla. Barcelona and Villarreal both scored at least three against them.
Away from home the story is thinner. Levante have played 2 away games in this run, with 1 draw and 1 loss. The draw was their only clean sheet: they drew 0-0 away at Málaga. That game showed they can close a match down on the road. The rest of their form suggests they rarely choose to.
Head-to-Head
No recent head-to-head data is available for this fixture, so form and setting will shape it more than history.
👀 What to Watch
The key question is which defence breaks first. Deportivo have conceded in every game of this run, and Levante concede freely too. Levante score well at home but have been far quieter on the road. If Deportivo press high and play in Levante’s half, they can test a back line that has leaked goals against strong attacks. If they sit off, they invite the open game Levante enjoy most.
The other thread is Deportivo’s home record. Two home games without a win is a small sample, but a third would turn it into a pattern.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Deportivo a 36% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 36% for Levante. Expected goals: 1.2–1.2. Two sides without a win in four, both leaking goals, and a home team that has not won at Riazor in this run: little separates them. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Deportivo 1-1 Levante
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Friday 16 October 2026, 19:00 UTC / 21:00 CEST (Fri 16 Oct) / 3:00 PM EDT (Fri 16 Oct) / 20:00 BST (Fri 16 Oct)
- Venue: Abanca-Riazor
- Competition: La Liga, Matchday 9
- Where to watch: Premier Sports & Disney+ (UK) / ESPN (US)
FAQ
- What time is Deportivo vs Levante?
- Kickoff: Friday 16 October 2026, 19:00 UTC / 21:00 CEST (Fri 16 Oct) / 3:00 PM EDT (Fri 16 Oct) / 20:00 BST (Fri 16 Oct)
- Where is Deportivo vs Levante being played?
- Venue: Abanca-Riazor
- How can I watch Deportivo vs Levante on TV?
- Where to watch: Premier Sports & Disney+ (UK) / ESPN (US)
- What is the predicted score for Deportivo vs Levante?
- Our prediction is Deportivo 1-1 Levante. Both sides are without a win in their last four and both have conceded regularly, so neither has a clear edge.
- Where are Deportivo and Levante in the La Liga table?
- Before Matchday 9, Deportivo are 8th on 10 points from 8 games. Levante are 17th on 6 points from 7 games.