vs
Club crests © respective clubs. Used for editorial identification only.
Match Prediction
Braga win
Draw
Gil Vicente win
Braga or draw
Gil Vicente or draw
Expected goals: 1.9 – 0.6 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 13 Oct 2026, 17:09 UTC · Track record
Level on Points, Split by a Grudge
Braga and Gil Vicente close the round level on 11 points, with Gil Vicente 8th and Braga 9th on the table before this round. Both have played seven league games. For Braga, a club built to finish in the European places, sitting below their neighbours from Barcelos is an awkward place to be. Gil Vicente also arrive having won the last two meetings.
The State of Braga
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Braga’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct | Sporting CP | Home | L 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| 20 Sep | Santa Clara | Away | D 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| 14 Sep | Estoril | Home | W 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| 10 Sep | Estrela | Away | L 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| 5 Sep | Alverca | Away | W 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
Braga have no win in their last two games, and their most recent outing hurt: they lost 1-3 at home to Sporting CP. Before that came a 0-0 draw away at Santa Clara. Over five games the record is 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost, with 5 scored and 6 conceded. Results at the quarry stadium have been mixed too. The 1-0 win at home to Estoril is their only home victory in this run.
The Braga identity has not changed under Carlos Vicens: they want the ball and push full-backs high to pin opponents back. The issue is the final pass. One goal or fewer in four of their five games is a poor return for a side that expects to control matches like this.
The State of Gil Vicente
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Gil Vicente’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct | Moreirense | Away | W 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| 19 Sep | Marítimo | Home | D 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| 13 Sep | Benfica | Away | L 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| 6 Sep | Académico Viseu | Home | L 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| 30 Aug | Famalicão | Away | D 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
Luís Pinto’s side come in unbeaten in two, and they won 1-0 away at Moreirense in their last game. Their profile is clear from the tally: 3 scored and 5 conceded in five games, with 2 clean sheets. They also failed to score in two of those games. They lost 1-3 away at Benfica, but that is the only game in this run where they conceded more than once.
Gil Vicente are comfortable without the ball. They sit compact, protect the space between the lines and wait for a transition or a set piece.
Head-to-Head
Recent history favours the visitors. Gil Vicente won 2-1 at home in February 2026, and they won 1-0 at Braga in September 2025. Across the last ten meetings Braga lead with 5 wins to Gil Vicente’s 3, with 2 draws. In Braga, the hosts have won 3 of the 5 meetings shown, and 7 of the 10 meetings had two goals or fewer.
👀 What to Watch
The key duel is Braga’s possession against Gil Vicente’s low block. Gil Vicente beat Braga in Braga last season by refusing to open up, then took their chance. If Braga cannot score early, the crowd will get restless. That plays straight into the visitors’ plan. Braga’s wide players must create overloads and deliver early crosses, not recycle the ball sideways at the edge of the box.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Braga a 67% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 11% for Gil Vicente. Expected goals: 1.9–0.6. Home advantage and Braga’s greater quality drive that read, but Gil Vicente’s low scoring and stubborn defence point to a tight margin. The model may underrate how well the visitors have handled this fixture recently. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Braga 1-0 Gil Vicente
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Monday 19 October 2026, 19:15 UTC / 20:15 WEST (Mon 19 Oct) / 20:15 BST (Mon 19 Oct) / 3:15 PM EDT (Mon 19 Oct)
- Venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga
- Competition: Primeira Liga, Matchday 2
- Where to watch: beIN Sports (US)
FAQ
- What time is Braga vs Gil Vicente?
- Kickoff: Monday 19 October 2026, 19:15 UTC / 20:15 WEST (Mon 19 Oct) / 20:15 BST (Mon 19 Oct) / 3:15 PM EDT (Mon 19 Oct)
- Where is Braga vs Gil Vicente being played?
- Venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga
- How can I watch Braga vs Gil Vicente in the US?
- Where to watch: beIN Sports (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Braga and Gil Vicente?
- Gil Vicente won 2-1 at home in February 2026. That was their second win in a row against Braga, after a 1-0 win in Braga in September 2025.
- What is the predicted score for Braga vs Gil Vicente?
- Our prediction is Braga 1-0 Gil Vicente. Braga should control the ball at home, but Gil Vicente's compact defence points to a narrow margin.