What time is Sevilla vs Valencia?

Kickoff is at 21:00 CEST / 3:00 PM EDT / 20:00 BST on Friday 11 September 2026.

Where is Sevilla vs Valencia being played?

The match is at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville, Sevilla's home ground.

What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Valencia?

Our model predicts Sevilla 1-1 Valencia. The head-to-head record favours low-scoring games, with eight of the last ten meetings producing two goals or fewer, and Valencia's attacking struggles this season make a high-scoring outcome unlikely.

Who won the last meeting between Sevilla and Valencia?

Valencia won 2-0 at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán on 21 March 2026. Valencia have won three of the last ten meetings, with Sevilla winning two and five ending as draws.

What are Sevilla and Valencia's league positions?

Sevilla are eighth with six points from three games. Valencia are 18th with one point from three games heading into Matchday 5.

Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction: La Liga 2026/27 Matchday 5

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Match Prediction

35%
Sevilla win

28%
Draw

37%
Valencia win

Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.3 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength, recent form & H2H

Model Probabilities

BTTS Yes: 52%BTTS No: 48%

Statistical model estimates — not a guarantee of outcome.

Most likely scores:1–1 (13.5%)0–1 (9.8%)1–0 (9.5%)

Model v2 · Generated 6 Sep 2026, 22:01 UTC

Sevilla Host Struggling Valencia to Open Matchday 5

Sevilla sit eighth on six points after three games. Valencia are 18th with a single point from three rounds, having scored just once all season. That gulf in early-season trajectory frames Friday’s curtain-raiser at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, where Luís García’s side will fancy themselves to pull further clear of the bottom half.

The State of Sevilla

Two wins from three league outings, beating Rayo Vallecano 2-1 and Athletic Club 3-1, gave Sevilla a promising start before Atlético de Madrid handed them a 1-3 defeat last time out. Six goals scored but five conceded across those three fixtures tells the story of a side that creates plenty going forward but remains porous at the back. Luís García has favoured an attacking approach since taking the Sevilla job, building through quick central combinations and width from the full-backs. The question is whether the defensive issues exposed by Atlético were a one-off against elite opponents or a structural weakness Valencia could exploit.

The State of Valencia

Carlos Corberán’s Valencia are in real trouble. A goalless draw with Celta de Vigo, a 0-1 home loss to Real Betis, and a 1-3 defeat to Deportivo La Coruña leave them 18th with one point and just one goal scored in three matches. That attacking output ranks among the lowest in the division through the opening rounds. Corberán, known for his defensive organisation from his time in English football, appears to have structure without the finishing quality to turn it into results. Valencia need to find a cutting edge quickly, and a trip to an attack-minded Sevilla side may not be the ideal place to find it, though Sevilla’s own defensive frailties could offer openings on the counter.

Head-to-Head

Valencia have the better of recent meetings, winning three of the last ten encounters to Sevilla’s two, with five draws. The most striking stat: eight of those ten meetings produced two goals or fewer. This is typically a tight, cagey fixture. Valencia won 2-0 at the Sánchez-Pizjuán in March 2026, and Sevilla have won just one of the last five meetings at their own ground. That home record against Los Che will concern García’s side.

👀 What to Watch

Sevilla’s defensive vulnerability against Valencia’s counter-attacking setup is the key narrative. Corberán will set up to absorb pressure and hit on transitions, which is exactly how Atlético hurt Sevilla in that 1-3 loss. If Sevilla commit bodies forward as they did against Athletic and Rayo, space will open behind their full-backs. Whether Valencia have the quality to punish those gaps, given their season total of one goal in three games, is the central tension of this match.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Sevilla a 35% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 37% for Valencia. Expected goals: 1.2–1.3. Both teams score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

The model puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%, reflecting both the head-to-head pattern of low-scoring games and Sevilla’s defensive leakiness. Valencia’s superior recent record in this fixture and Sevilla’s shaky backline explain why the model slightly favours the visitors despite their poor start. The head-to-head trend of tight games, combined with Valencia’s attacking struggles, points toward a low-scoring affair. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia

Practical Info

Kickoff: 21:00 CEST (Fri 11 Sep) / 3:00 PM EDT (Fri 11 Sep) / 20:00 BST (Fri 11 Sep). Venue: Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville. Where to watch: available via regional broadcast partners, check local listings.

FAQ

What time is Sevilla vs Valencia?: Kickoff is at 21:00 CEST / 3:00 PM EDT / 20:00 BST on Friday 11 September 2026.
Where is Sevilla vs Valencia being played?: The match is at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville, Sevilla's home ground.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Valencia?: Our model predicts Sevilla 1-1 Valencia. The head-to-head record favours low-scoring games, with eight of the last ten meetings producing two goals or fewer, and Valencia's attacking struggles this season make a high-scoring outcome unlikely.
Who won the last meeting between Sevilla and Valencia?: Valencia won 2-0 at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán on 21 March 2026. Valencia have won three of the last ten meetings, with Sevilla winning two and five ending as draws.
What are Sevilla and Valencia's league positions?: Sevilla are eighth with six points from three games. Valencia are 18th with one point from three games heading into Matchday 5.