How Our Football Prediction Model Works
How Kickoff Report predicts football matches: Elo-anchored expected goals, a Poisson and Dixon-Coles scoreline model, and honest backtested accuracy (RPS 0.203 vs 0.198 for the bookies).
Plain-English football explainers: how competitions and their formats actually work, from the 36-team Champions League league phase to qualification, seeding and tiebreakers. The rules, demystified.
How Kickoff Report predicts football matches: Elo-anchored expected goals, a Poisson and Dixon-Coles scoreline model, and honest backtested accuracy (RPS 0.203 vs 0.198 for the bookies).
The FIFA World Cup now features 48 teams, 12 groups of four, a new Round of 32, and 104 matches in total. Here is how the expanded format works.
The UEFA Champions League now uses a 36-team league phase with eight games each, a single table, and a knockout play-off round. Here is how it all works.