Burnley vs Charlton Prediction: Championship 2026/27

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Model v2 · Generated 24 Sep 2026, 06:24 UTC · Track record

Burnley Need a Win, and They Need It Now

Burnley have not won a single Championship match this season. They host a Charlton side that has its own problems but sits comfortably above them. For the Clarets, this Tuesday evening fixture is less about building momentum and more about stopping the bleeding.

The State of Burnley

Nicky Hayen’s side have drawn three and lost two of their last five, scoring exactly one goal in each of those matches. That relentless consistency in finding the net once, and only once, tells a story: Burnley can create, but they cannot sustain pressure or put opponents away. The 1-3 loss at Swansea and the 1-2 defeat at Bristol City both followed the same pattern, with the Clarets pulling one back but never threatening an equaliser. Even the draws, at Middlesbrough, Wrexham, and Derby, were 1-1 stalemates. A home fixture should offer relief. Burnley’s recent run has been entirely on the road, and Turf Moor historically gives them a different dynamic: more directness, more set-piece threat, more crowd-driven intensity. Whether Hayen can channel that into a first win remains the central question.

The State of Charlton

Nathan Jones’s Charlton have been difficult to beat but blunt in attack. Three of their last five matches ended in draws (1-1 at West Brom, 0-0 at QPR, 0-0 at Portsmouth), and their two defeats were heavy: 0-4 at Stoke and 1-3 at Cardiff. The Addicks have managed just two goals across their last five games. That lack of firepower is a concern, but Charlton’s defensive organisation in those two goalless draws shows a side that can frustrate opponents. The question is whether they can do more than frustrate. On the road at a desperate Burnley, a point might feel acceptable, but Jones will know that passive approaches have a ceiling.

Head-to-Head

These two clubs have a long history, though meetings have been less frequent in recent years as their paths diverged across divisions. Burnley’s pedigree as a recently relegated Premier League side gives them the prestige edge, but Charlton’s own history includes top-flight football and a rich tradition at this level. In their recent encounters, results have tended to favour the home side.

👀 What to Watch

Burnley’s inability to score more than once per match meets Charlton’s inability to score at all. Something has to give. The key narrative is whether Burnley can create enough volume to break through Charlton’s low-block organisation. Jones’s side conceded four at Stoke, so they are not impenetrable, but they have shown they can shut games down when disciplined. If Burnley start slowly and allow Charlton to settle into their defensive shape, this could drift toward another frustrating draw for the Clarets. The other thread is Burnley’s home advantage after a run of five consecutive away fixtures. Hayen has not had Turf Moor to work with recently, and the shift in environment could unlock something.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Burnley a 67% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 11% for Charlton. Expected goals: 1.9–0.6. Burnley’s home advantage and Charlton’s attacking struggles on the road drive this read. The Clarets have found the net in every recent match, and against a side that has scored just twice in five, a clean sheet looks achievable. These are model projections for informational purposes only, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Burnley 1-0 Charlton

Practical Info

• Kickoff: Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC / 19:45 BST (Tue 13 Oct) / 2:45 PM EDT (Tue 13 Oct) / 20:45 CEST (Tue 13 Oct)
• Venue: Turf Moor
• Competition: Championship
• Where to watch: Sky Sports (UK) / CBS Sports & Paramount+ (US)

FAQ

What time is Burnley vs Charlton?

Kickoff: Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC / 19:45 BST (Tue 13 Oct) / 2:45 PM EDT (Tue 13 Oct) / 20:45 CEST (Tue 13 Oct)

What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Charlton?

Our model predicts Burnley 1-0 Charlton. Burnley's home advantage and Charlton's lack of goals on the road make a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Where is Burnley vs Charlton being played?

Venue: Turf Moor

What competition is Burnley vs Charlton in?

This is a Championship (second tier of English football) match, part of Matchday 10 of the 2026/27 season.

How have Burnley and Charlton been performing this season?

Burnley are winless, with three draws and two losses in their last five. Charlton have drawn three and lost two of their last five, scoring just two goals in that run.