What time is Watford vs Burnley?

Kickoff is at 15:00 BST (Saturday 10 October 2026), which is 10:00 AM EDT and 16:00 CEST.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Burnley?

Our prediction is Watford 0-1 Burnley. Burnley's strong head-to-head record and Watford's recent difficulty scoring at home support a narrow away win.

Who won the last meeting between Watford and Burnley?

Burnley won the most recent meeting 2-1 at Vicarage Road in April 2025. Burnley have won four of the last seven encounters between the sides.

What is Watford's recent form?

Watford have lost four of their last five Championship matches, with their only win a 2-1 victory over Preston North End. They were shut out in three of those five games.

Have Burnley won a league game this season?

No. Burnley are still without a Championship win this season, collecting only draws and defeats from their opening fixtures. They have drawn three of their last five matches.

Watford vs Burnley Prediction: Championship 2026/27

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Match Prediction

22%
Watford win

27%
Draw

51%
Burnley win

Expected goals: 0.9 – 1.6 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength, recent form & H2H

Most likely scores:1–1 (12.6%)0–1 (12.2%)0–2 (10.0%)

Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.

Model v2 · Generated 21 Sep 2026, 20:20 UTC · Track record

Two Struggling Sides Meet at Vicarage Road

Watford and Burnley arrive at Matchday 9 in desperate need of a result. Watford have lost three of their last four Championship outings, while Burnley are still without a league win this season, picking up only draws and defeats from their opening fixtures. For Burnley, this is fast becoming a rescue mission; for Watford, a home win would offer breathing room before the picture gets any worse.

The State of Watford

Alessio Dionisi’s side have found goals hard to come by. Their recent sequence tells the story: a 0-2 loss to Swansea, a 0-1 defeat at West Brom, a 2-1 win over Preston (their only victory in this five-match stretch), then a 1-2 loss to Stoke and a 0-1 defeat to Bristol City. That is four defeats in five, with just three goals scored across those matches. The Preston result aside, Watford have struggled to create consistently and have been shut out in three of those five games. Dionisi will want his side to use home advantage to find some attacking rhythm, but the evidence so far suggests a team that is still searching for its identity in the final third.

The State of Burnley

Burnley’s situation is more alarming. Under Nicky Hayen, they drew 1-1 with Middlesbrough, lost 1-2 to Bristol City, drew 1-1 with Wrexham, lost 1-3 to Swansea, and drew 1-1 with Derby County. Zero wins. One pattern stands out: Burnley score in almost every game (they found the net in all five recent fixtures) but concede more. Their defensive fragility, particularly the 1-3 loss to Swansea, points to structural problems at the back. On the positive side, they have shown resilience in earning three draws, so they do not capitulate easily.

Head-to-Head

Burnley hold a clear edge in recent meetings. Of the last seven encounters, Burnley have won four, Watford just one, with two draws. In April 2025, Burnley won 2-1 at Vicarage Road, and their December 2024 meeting at Turf Moor ended 2-1 to Burnley as well. Watford’s sole win in this sample came back in August 2022, a 1-0 home victory. The fixtures tend to be tight: four of those seven meetings produced two goals or fewer in total, and no side has scored more than two in any single meeting.

👀 What to Watch

Watford’s inability to score is the defining storyline. Three blanks in five games against a Burnley defence that has conceded in every recent outing creates a fascinating tension. Burnley have been porous, but Watford have lacked the cutting edge to punish anyone. If Watford cannot break through against a side this vulnerable, questions about their attacking setup will only intensify. At the other end, Burnley’s habit of finding one goal per game means Watford’s defence will need to be sharper than it has been; conceding first would pile pressure on a side low on confidence.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Watford a 22% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 51% for Burnley. Expected goals: 0.9–1.6.

Burnley’s dominance in the head-to-head record, combined with Watford’s chronic goal-scoring problems at home, supports the visitors despite their own poor form. Burnley find the net regularly; Watford often do not. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 12.6%, but with the win probabilities favouring Burnley we take their most likely winning score, 0-1. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Watford 0-1 Burnley

Practical Info

Kickoff: 15:00 BST (Sat 10 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 10 Oct) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 10 Oct). Venue not yet confirmed. Coverage is available via regional broadcast partners; check local listings.

FAQ

What time is Watford vs Burnley?: Kickoff is at 15:00 BST (Saturday 10 October 2026), which is 10:00 AM EDT and 16:00 CEST.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Burnley?: Our prediction is Watford 0-1 Burnley. Burnley's strong head-to-head record and Watford's recent difficulty scoring at home support a narrow away win.
Who won the last meeting between Watford and Burnley?: Burnley won the most recent meeting 2-1 at Vicarage Road in April 2025. Burnley have won four of the last seven encounters between the sides.
What is Watford's recent form?: Watford have lost four of their last five Championship matches, with their only win a 2-1 victory over Preston North End. They were shut out in three of those five games.
Have Burnley won a league game this season?: No. Burnley are still without a Championship win this season, collecting only draws and defeats from their opening fixtures. They have drawn three of their last five matches.