Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction: Serie A 2026/27 Matchday 6

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Model v2 · Generated 21 Sep 2026, 19:20 UTC · Track record

Atalanta’s Slide Meets Venezia’s Freefall

Atalanta welcome Venezia to the Gewiss Stadium on Monday evening with both clubs desperate to arrest ugly losing runs. Atalanta have dropped three straight league matches after a promising opening fortnight. Venezia arrive in Bergamo still searching for their first point of the season after five consecutive defeats.

The State of Atalanta

Maurizio Sarri’s side opened the campaign with wins over Sassuolo (2-1) and Bologna (1-0), but the wheels have come off since. Defeats to Roma (1-2), Cagliari (1-2) and most recently Juventus (0-2) mark a sharp downturn. That Juve loss was particularly blunt: a clean sheet conceded with no reply. Sarri’s system depends on controlled possession through the middle, and Éderson is the engine of that. His ability to break lines with vertical carries gives Atalanta their best route out of midfield congestion. Raoul Bellanova provides width on the right, while Giorgio Scalvini anchors the back line. The concern is goals: Atalanta managed just one in their last three matches. Mario Pašalić and Gianluca Gaetano need to rediscover their creative spark if the hosts are to turn the tide.

The State of Venezia

Giovanni Stroppa’s squad have lost all five league fixtures so far. The 2-3 defeat to Frosinone and the 2-4 loss to Fiorentina show Venezia can score, but they leak goals at an alarming rate. Lorenzo Montipò will need to be at his best between the posts. Pasquale Mazzocchi offers energy from full back, while Armel Bella Kotchap provides physicality in central defence. The problem for Venezia is structural: they have conceded two or more goals in every league match this season. A trip to Bergamo, where Atalanta rarely lose at home, is a daunting assignment.

Head-to-Head

Atalanta dominate this fixture. In the last four meetings, Atalanta have won three and drawn one, with Venezia failing to win any. The most recent clash at the Gewiss Stadium ended 0-0 in March 2025, a rare blank for Atalanta in this matchup. Before that, Atalanta ran riot at home with a 4-0 victory in November 2021. Away from Bergamo, Atalanta have won both visits to Venezia’s ground (2-0 in October 2024, 3-1 in April 2022). Venezia have scored in only one of those four meetings.

👀 What to Watch

The key question is whether Sarri can fix Atalanta’s finishing. Éderson’s ball progression will test a Venezia midfield that has been overrun repeatedly this season. If Éderson and Franck Kessié can dominate the centre, Atalanta should create chances. The other thread: Venezia’s willingness to commit numbers forward (they scored twice against both Frosinone and Fiorentina) could leave gaps for Bellanova to exploit on the counter. Stroppa must decide whether to sit deep and protect or press high and risk exposure.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Atalanta a 65% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 12% for Venezia. Expected goals: 1.8–0.7. Atalanta’s total dominance in the head to head record and home advantage support the model’s read, even with their current three match losing streak. Venezia’s inability to earn a single point so far makes an away win hard to envision. These are model projections for informational purposes only, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Atalanta 1-0 Venezia

Practical Info

Kickoff: 18:30 CEST (Mon 12 Oct) / 12:30 PM EDT (Mon 12 Oct) / 17:30 BST (Mon 12 Oct). Venue: Gewiss Stadium. Where to watch: DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK).

FAQ

What time is Atalanta vs Venezia?

Kickoff is at 18:30 CEST (Mon 12 Oct), which is 12:30 PM EDT or 17:30 BST on the same day.

Where is Atalanta vs Venezia being played?

The match takes place at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Atalanta's home ground.

Who won the last meeting between Atalanta and Venezia?

The last meeting was a 0-0 draw at the Gewiss Stadium in March 2025. Before that, Atalanta won 2-0 at Venezia's ground in October 2024.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Venezia?

The predicted score is Atalanta 1-0 Venezia. Atalanta's head to head dominance and home advantage outweigh their recent dip, while Venezia have lost every league match this season.

How can I watch Atalanta vs Venezia on TV?

The match is broadcast on DAZN in Italy and TNT Sports in the UK.