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Match Prediction
Stuttgart win
Draw
Mönchengladbach win
Stuttgart or draw
Mönchengladbach or draw
Expected goals: 1.9 – 0.7 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 21 Oct 2026, 05:41 UTC · Track record
Gladbach Arrive Still Chasing a Point
Matchday 7 opens at the MHPArena with Borussia Mönchengladbach still waiting for their first point. Gladbach go into the round 18th on 0 points from 6 games. Stuttgart sit 13th on 6 points from 6, five places and six points clear of their visitors. For Stuttgart, juggling the Champions League, this is the night to steady a shaky league start. For Gladbach, it is about stopping the bleeding.
The State of Stuttgart
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Stuttgart’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Atletico Madrid | Home | D 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| 17 Oct | Hamburg | Away | L 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| 14 Oct | Slovan Bratislava | Away | W 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| 10 Oct | Paderborn | Away | W 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| 19 Sep | Dortmund | Home | L 0-1 | Bundesliga |
Sebastian Hoeneß’s side come in three days after a 1-1 draw at home to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League, proof they can hold their shape against elite opposition. The league is the worry: they lost 0-1 away at Hamburg in the Bundesliga and are without a win in their last 2. Across the five listed games they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 6 scored and 3 conceded. The defence carries them. Dan-Axel Zagadou and Julian Chabot give them height in the middle, and Maximilian Mittelstädt supplies the width and delivery from left back. Nikolas Nartey’s running links a back line that likes to build patiently.
The State of Mönchengladbach
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Mönchengladbach’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Hoffenheim | Home | L 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| 11 Oct | Köln | Away | L 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| 19 Sep | Mainz | Home | L 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| 12 Sep | Freiburg | Away | L 0-5 | Bundesliga |
| 5 Sep | Elversberg | Home | L 3-4 | Bundesliga |
Eugen Polański’s side have lost 5 in a row, scoring 8 and conceding 17 with no clean sheet. The low point was a 0-5 defeat away at Freiburg, but the deeper pattern is a leaking defence, not a blunt attack: they lost 3-4 at home to both Mainz and Elversberg in the Bundesliga. Florian Neuhaus and Kevin Stöger give them a midfield that can pass through a press and threaten from set pieces. Behind them, Ko Itakura and Kevin Diks have been left exposed far too often.
Head-to-Head
Stuttgart have won 6 of the last 10 meetings to Gladbach’s 3, with 1 draw, and they scored in all 10. In Stuttgart, the home side have won 4 of the last 5. Gladbach’s only win there in that run was a 1-2 on 1 February 2025. The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart at Gladbach’s ground.
👀 What to Watch
Mittelstädt against Gladbach’s right side is the key matchup. Whoever plays there, Joseph Scally or Daiki Hashioka, faces repeated one-against-one defending, and Gladbach have conceded in every listed game. At the other end, Stöger’s dead balls are Gladbach’s clearest route to a goal. Recovery matters too: Stuttgart played Atletico on 20 October, while Gladbach have not played since losing to Hoffenheim on 18 October.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Stuttgart a 65% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 12% for Mönchengladbach. Expected goals: 1.9–0.7. Gladbach’s defensive record and Stuttgart’s home dominance in this fixture make the hosts clear favourites. The narrow margin reflects Stuttgart’s own scoring gaps in the league and a short turnaround after Atletico. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Stuttgart 1-0 Mönchengladbach
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 UTC / 20:30 CEST (Fri 23 Oct) / 2:30 PM EDT (Fri 23 Oct) / 19:30 BST (Fri 23 Oct)
- Venue: MHPArena
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 7
- Where to watch: Sky & DAZN (Germany) / Sky Sports, Prime Video & BBC (UK) / USA Network & Fandango (US)
FAQ
- What time is Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach?
- Kickoff: Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 UTC / 20:30 CEST (Fri 23 Oct) / 2:30 PM EDT (Fri 23 Oct) / 19:30 BST (Fri 23 Oct)
- Where is Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach being played?
- Venue: MHPArena
- How can I watch Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach on TV?
- Where to watch: Sky & DAZN (Germany) / Sky Sports, Prime Video & BBC (UK) / USA Network & Fandango (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Stuttgart and Mönchengladbach?
- Stuttgart won 3-0 at Mönchengladbach's ground on 25 January 2026.
- What is the predicted score for Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach?
- Our prediction is Stuttgart 1-0 Mönchengladbach. Gladbach have lost 5 in a row, but Stuttgart's league scoring has been patchy, so a narrow home win is the most likely result.