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Match Prediction
Hull City win
Draw
Brentford win
Hull City or draw
Brentford or draw
Expected goals: 0.7 – 1.8 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 20 Oct 2026, 20:36 UTC · Track record
One Point Separates Two Overachievers
Brentford go into Matchday 8 sixth on 10 points from seven games. Hull City sit ninth on 9, so the gap between the two clubs is three places and a single point. Hull are without a win in their last five, and the MKM Stadium is where Sergej Jakirović needs that run to end.
The State of Hull City
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Hull City’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Fulham | Away | L 0-1 | Premier League |
| 11 Oct | Everton | Home | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 19 Sep | Newcastle | Away | L 1-2 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Chelsea | Away | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 5 Sep | Aston Villa | Home | D 0-0 | Premier League |
The record reads 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost, with 5 scored and 7 conceded. Nothing in it is a collapse. Every game has been tight, and the 2-2 draw away at Chelsea showed this side can trade punches with a heavyweight. The worry is the finishing. Hull drew blanks in two of the five, including the 0-1 defeat away at Fulham, and they have gone 0 won, 2 drawn at home over this stretch.
Jakirović has built a side that is hard to open up. One clean sheet and no heavy defeats point to a compact block that stays in games. The next step is turning stubborn draws into wins on home soil, and that means more ambition in the final third.
The State of Brentford
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows Brentford’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liverpool | Home | L 1-2 | Premier League |
| 10 Oct | Aston Villa | Away | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 18 Sep | Chelsea | Home | W 3-0 | Premier League |
| 12 Sep | Bournemouth | Away | D 2-2 | Premier League |
| 5 Sep | Sunderland | Home | D 1-1 | Premier League |
Keith Andrews’ side have scored in all five of their recent games, with 9 goals for and 7 against. The standout result was a 3-0 win at home to Chelsea. That was Brentford at their best: direct, aggressive in transition and dangerous from set pieces. The 1-2 defeat at home to Liverpool ended that momentum, and they are now without a win in two.
The away form is the part Hull should note. Brentford drew both trips in this sample, 2-2 at Aston Villa and 2-2 at Bournemouth. They score on the road, but they also concede.
Head-to-Head
The only meeting in the record is a heavy one. On 1 February 2020, Brentford won 5-1 at Hull’s ground, back when both clubs played in the Championship. Both squads have changed a great deal since then, but it remains Brentford’s only result in this sample, and it was a four-goal win.
👀 What to Watch
Hull’s low block against Brentford’s set-piece threat is the matchup that decides this. Jakirović’s side defend deep and give away few clear chances from open play. That invites pressure, and pressure brings corners and wide free kicks, which is where Brentford have built their identity in the top flight. If Hull can defend their box without inviting a stream of dead balls, the game stays level. If not, Brentford’s scoring run looks set to continue.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives Hull City a 14% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 63% for Brentford. Expected goals: 0.7–1.8. Hull’s trouble scoring, set against a Brentford side that has found the net in every recent game, drives that read. Hull’s run of draws suggests the margin will be slim. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: Hull City 0-1 Brentford
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 14:00 GMT (Sun 25 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sun 25 Oct) / 15:00 CET (Sun 25 Oct)
- Venue: MKM Stadium
- Competition: Premier League, Matchday 8
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)
FAQ
- What time is Hull City vs Brentford?
- Kickoff: Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC / 14:00 GMT (Sun 25 Oct) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sun 25 Oct) / 15:00 CET (Sun 25 Oct)
- Where is Hull City vs Brentford being played?
- Venue: MKM Stadium
- How can I watch Hull City vs Brentford?
- Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US)
- Who won the last meeting between Hull City and Brentford?
- Brentford won the last meeting 5-1 at Hull's ground on 1 February 2020.
- What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brentford?
- Our prediction is Hull City 0-1 Brentford. Hull failed to score in two of their last five games, and Brentford have scored in all five of theirs.