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Match Prediction
ADO Den Haag win
Draw
PSV win
ADO Den Haag or draw
PSV or draw
Expected goals: 0.3 – 2.2 | Elo-adjusted Poisson model · team strength & head-to-head
Statistical model estimates, not a guarantee of outcome.
Model v2 · Generated 14 Oct 2026, 06:34 UTC · Track record
Winless Hosts Face Title Chasers
ADO Den Haag go into the round 17th on 3 points from 8 games, still waiting for a first league win of the season. PSV arrive 2nd on 19 points, 16 points and 15 places above their hosts. For PSV, this is a trip to the Bingoal Stadion where anything short of three points would feel like a setback in the title race.
The State of ADO Den Haag
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows ADO Den Haag’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Telstar | Away | D 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| 19 Sep | Cambuur | Home | D 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| 12 Sep | Twente | Away | L 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| 6 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | Home | L 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| 30 Aug | Feyenoord | Away | D 2-2 | Eredivisie |
Robin Peter’s side are without a win in their last 5, with 3 draws and 2 defeats. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run, and they have kept no clean sheets. The encouraging sign is that they drew 2-2 away at Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, proof that this group can trouble a top side. The latest result was a 2-2 draw away at Telstar in the Eredivisie, which makes it 2 draws in a row.
Jan Žambůrek is the key figure in midfield, the player who has to keep the ball when the pressure comes and find a pass forward. Sem Eekhout adds energy beside him. Behind them, Niclas Thiede should expect a busy afternoon in goal.
The State of PSV
Last 5 results in all competitions, newest first (score shows PSV’s goals first):
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct | RB Leipzig | Away | L 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| 9 Oct | Heerenveen | Home | W 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| 20 Sep | Twente | Away | L 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| 13 Sep | Sparta Rotterdam | Home | W 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| 10 Sep | Shakhtar | Home | D 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
Peter Bosz’s side have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 across all competitions. At home they look sharp: they won 2-0 at home to Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Away from Eindhoven the picture is weaker. Both away games in that run were defeats, the latest a 0-1 loss away at RB Leipzig in the Champions League.
Jerdy Schouten sets the tempo from deep, and Guus Til gives them a runner who arrives late in the box. Sergiño Dest and Filip Kostić supply width, and Ryan Flamingo anchors the back line.
Head-to-Head
In the last 3 meetings, ADO have no wins, PSV have 2 and there was 1 draw. The most recent meeting, on 13 February 2021, ended ADO Den Haag 2-2 PSV in The Hague. Before that, PSV won 4-0 at home on 1 November 2020. ADO scored in only 1 of those 3 meetings.
👀 What to Watch
The flanks decide this. Bosz wants his full-backs high, so Dest and Kostić will push ADO’s wide players back towards their own box. If ADO cannot get out through Žambůrek, they will spend long spells defending crosses. The other question is PSV’s legs after the Leipzig trip. ADO have scored twice in three of their last five, and quick breaks into the space behind Dest are their best route to goal.
🔮 Prediction
Our model gives ADO Den Haag a 4% chance of winning, 16% for a draw and 80% for PSV. Expected goals: 0.3–2.2. The gap in quality and ADO’s leaky defence drive that read, even with PSV’s poor recent away results. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction: ADO Den Haag 0-2 PSV
Practical Info
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30 UTC / 16:30 CEST (Sat 17 Oct) / 15:30 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:30 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct)
- Venue: Bingoal Stadion
- Competition: Eredivisie, Matchday 9
- Where to watch: ESPN (Netherlands)
FAQ
- What time is ADO Den Haag vs PSV?
- Kickoff: Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30 UTC / 16:30 CEST (Sat 17 Oct) / 15:30 BST (Sat 17 Oct) / 10:30 AM EDT (Sat 17 Oct)
- Where is ADO Den Haag vs PSV being played?
- Venue: Bingoal Stadion
- How can I watch ADO Den Haag vs PSV?
- Where to watch: ESPN (Netherlands)
- Who won the last meeting between ADO Den Haag and PSV?
- Nobody. The last meeting, on 13 February 2021 in The Hague, ended ADO Den Haag 2-2 PSV.
- What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs PSV?
- Our prediction is ADO Den Haag 0-2 PSV. ADO are still without a league win and keep conceding, while PSV have far more quality in attack.