Udinese vs Como 1907 Prediction: Serie A 2026/27 Matchday 1

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Como Return to Udine With the Upper Hand

Udinese Calcio and Como 1907 open their ²⁰²⁶⁄₂₇ Serie A campaigns against each other at the Bluenergy Stadium, one of two Matchday 1 fixtures kicking off at the same hour. It is a first look at both squads after the summer, and the head-to-head tilts in Como’s favour overall, though the venue record is more mixed — Udinese won 1-0 here in September 2024 and the last visit ended 0-0 in April. With no results on the board for anyone, the only hard evidence available is that recent history.

The State of Udinese Calcio

There is no form to read. Serie A begins here, so every club sits on zero played and zero points, and anything said about momentum in Udine would be invention. What can be said is that Udinese’s identity has been consistent for years: a back three, wing-backs who cover the whole flank, and a squad assembled through the club’s scouting network rather than the transfer market’s top shelf.

The defensive core is where the registered squad is deepest. Oumar Solet is the athletic centre-piece — quick enough to defend a high line and comfortable stepping into midfield with the ball, which is what allows Udinese to push their wing-backs so far forward. Alongside him, Christian Kabasele brings the experience to organise a back three that will need to be disciplined against Como’s movement, with Nicolo Bertola and Matteo Palma providing further options. Enzo Ebosse offers left-sided cover.

The wing-back positions are the tactical fulcrum. Hassane Kamara on the left is a genuine two-way runner, an outlet in transition and a body back in the block when possession is conceded. On the right, Alessandro Zanoli and Mërgim Vojvoda give Udinese two different flavours: Zanoli the more direct overlapper, Vojvoda the more positionally conservative option if the plan is to sit deeper and hit Como on the counter. Leonardo Buta and Saba Goglichidze add depth to a flank rotation that will be leaned on hard across a long season.

In goal, Maduka Okoye is the established presence, with Daniele Padelli’s experience behind him. Given that three of the last four meetings between these clubs produced two goals or fewer in total, Okoye may find this is a match decided by one or two moments rather than a shootout.

The State of Como 1907

Como’s rise has been the most watched project in Italian football, and it has been built on a clear idea: control the ball, play out from the back through the goalkeeper, and squeeze the pitch high up. That model demands defenders who can pass, and the registered squad reflects exactly that priority.

Trevoh Chalobah brings Premier League-hardened defending and the range to step out of the line; Alberto Dossena and Marc-Oliver Kempf are natural organisers, while Edoardo Goldaniga and Jacobo Ramón round out a centre-back group with genuine competition for places. What makes Como’s structure work, though, is the full-back play. Yan Couto is the pick of them — a right-back who spends most of the match in the final third, arriving on the overlap or drifting inside to create an extra passing lane. Alex Valle and Ivan Smolčić on the left, and Ignace Van Der Brempt as another right-sided option, all fit the same profile: defenders trusted to be part of the attack.

In midfield, Luca Mazzitelli is the connector — the player who sets the tempo between the defensive build-up and the final third. Between the posts, Emil Audero and Jean Butez both offer the distribution the system requires, with Mauro Vigorito in support. Noel Törnqvist adds to the group.

Como’s record in this fixture is the strongest argument for them: two wins from the last four meetings against one for Udinese, with a draw.

Head-to-Head

Four meetings, and Como lead 2-1 with one draw. The most recent, on 6 April 2026, ended 0-0 at Udinese’s ground — a match that produced nothing for either side and fits the wider pattern here, with three of the four meetings finishing with two goals or fewer in total.

Como’s wins both came at their own ground: 1-0 on 3 January 2026, and 4-1 on 20 January 2025, the only time in the sample either side scored three or more and the widest margin of the four at three goals. Udinese’s single win, 1-0 on 1 September 2024, came in Udine.

That home split matters. At this venue the record reads one Udinese win, one draw, no Como wins — Como have not yet won in Udine across this sample, which cuts against the model’s lean.

👀 What to Watch

The flank where Yan Couto plays is the match. Couto pushes so high that Como effectively defend with a back three, and Udinese’s most natural route to a goal is the space he vacates — which puts Hassane Kamara, running from left wing-back into that gap, in the position to hurt them. Whether Udinese commit to that counter or sit off decides the shape of the whole afternoon.

The second question is what Udinese do with Oumar Solet. Against a Como side that plays through midfield in short passes, the option of Solet stepping out of the back line to press the receiver breaks up the build-up at source — but it opens the channel behind him. Get it wrong once and Como’s forward runners are through. Luca Mazzitelli’s ability to draw that press and release the ball early is precisely the skill that punishes it.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Udinese Calcio a 30% chance, the draw 28%, and Como 1907 42%, with expected goals of 1.1-1.4. On exact scores, 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.3%, but with the win probabilities favouring the visitors we take Como’s most likely winning score, 0-1 (10.6%), as the headline pick — 0-0 sits third at 8.8%. For bettors, the model puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%, both close to coin-flips and consistent with a fixture that has produced two goals or fewer three times in four meetings.

The read is driven by the head-to-head — Como have won two of four — and by the structural matchup: Como’s possession model tends to squeeze opponents into low-volume matches, and Udinese’s counter-attacking route needs a specific set of circumstances to open. That said, the 42% arguably understates the venue: Como have not won at Udinese’s ground in the four meetings on record, and one of the two matches there ended goalless. These are model projections — not betting advice. Wager responsibly.

Prediction: Udinese Calcio 0-1 Como 1907

Practical Info

Kick-off is 18:30 CEST (Sat 22 Aug) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sat 22 Aug) / 17:30 BST (Sat 22 Aug) at the Bluenergy Stadium in Udine. Where to watch: DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK)

FAQ

What time is Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907?

Kick-off is 18:30 CEST (Sat 22 Aug) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sat 22 Aug) / 17:30 BST (Sat 22 Aug) on Saturday 22 August 2026.

Where is Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907 being played?

At the Bluenergy Stadium in Udine, Udinese Calcio's home ground, for this Serie A Matchday 1 fixture.

How can I watch Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907 on TV?

The match is broadcast on DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK).

Who won the last meeting between Udinese Calcio and Como 1907?

Nobody — their last meeting, on 6 April 2026 at Udinese Calcio's ground, finished 0-0. Across the last four meetings Como 1907 have two wins, Udinese Calcio one, with one draw.

What is the predicted score for Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907?

Udinese Calcio 0-1 Como 1907. The model gives Como a 42% win chance against Udinese's 30%, and while 1-1 is the single most likely exact score at 13.3%, 0-1 is the most likely winning scoreline for the favoured side.