Deportivo vs Sevilla Prediction | La Liga 2026/27 Matchday 6

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Model v2 · Generated 13 Sep 2026, 05:42 UTC

Unbeaten Depor Welcome High-Flying Sevilla to Riazor

Sixth hosts third in a midweek La Liga fixture that could reshape the top half of the table. Deportivo sit on 8 points from four games without a defeat, while Sevilla arrive on 10 points from five, having already played their Matchday 5 fixture. A win for Depor would draw them level; a Sevilla victory would open a five-point gap and consolidate their early-season push.

The State of Deportivo

Antonio Hidalgo’s side have built real momentum since returning to the top flight. After drawing their opening two league matches 1-1 against Elche and Malaga, Depor found their teeth with back-to-back home-and-away wins: 3-1 over Valencia and a thrilling 3-2 against Villarreal. That’s 8 goals scored in four games, the joint-best attacking return among the sides visible in the top ten. The unbeaten record is no fluke either. Hidalgo has Depor defending with organization and countering with pace, and Riazor has rediscovered its voice as a fortress. The question is whether this squad, still adjusting to Primera Division intensity, can sustain that output against a side with more pedigree and depth.

The State of Sevilla

Luis Garcia’s Sevilla have been impressively efficient. Wins over Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club opened their campaign before Atletico Madrid handed them their only defeat so far, a 1-3 loss. A 1-1 draw with Espanyol followed, but Sevilla bounced back immediately with a 1-0 win over Valencia, showing the kind of resilience that keeps teams in contention. Their 8 goals scored and 6 conceded suggest a side that wins tight rather than blowing opponents away. Garcia has Sevilla compact and clinical, though conceding in four of five matches points to vulnerability at the back.

Head-to-Head

These clubs carry decades of shared history from Deportivo’s golden era in the early 2000s, when meetings with Sevilla were regular top-table affairs. Depor’s long absence from the top flight means recent competitive meetings have been sparse. This fixture carries nostalgic weight for the home support, and the atmosphere at Riazor for a Wednesday evening under lights should reflect that.

👀 What to Watch

Depor have scored six goals in their last two matches, but Sevilla’s recent 1-0 win over Valencia showed Garcia’s side can strangle games when ahead. The key narrative is whether Hidalgo’s attacking approach can break through Sevilla’s low-block discipline, or whether the visitors’ experience in managing leads will prove decisive. Sevilla have conceded in four of their five league games so far, so Depor will fancy their chances of finding the net at least once, but converting that into three points against a side sitting third is a different proposition entirely.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Deportivo a 34% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 38% for Sevilla. Expected goals: 1.2–1.3. Both teams score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Sevilla’s slight edge in the win probability reflects their greater squad depth and the fact they have already navigated tougher fixtures this season, including that Atletico test. The model puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%, which fits with Sevilla’s pattern of conceding but finding a way to win narrow contests. 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.5%, but with the win probabilities favouring Sevilla we take their most likely winning score, 0-1. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Deportivo 0-1 Sevilla

Practical Info

Kickoff: 19:00 CEST (Wed 16 Sep) / 1:00 PM EDT (Wed 16 Sep) / 18:00 BST (Wed 16 Sep). Venue: Abanca-Riazor. Broadcast: available via regional broadcast partners — check local listings.

FAQ

What time is Deportivo vs Sevilla?

Kickoff is Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 CEST, 1:00 PM EDT, or 18:00 BST.

Where is Deportivo vs Sevilla being played?

The match is at Abanca-Riazor, Deportivo's home ground in A Coruña.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo vs Sevilla?

Our model predicts Deportivo 0-1 Sevilla. Sevilla hold a slight edge in win probability at 38% and their ability to grind out narrow results this season supports a low-scoring away win.

Are Deportivo unbeaten this season?

Yes. After four La Liga matches, Deportivo have two wins and two draws, collecting 8 points without a defeat so far in 2026/27.

Where are Deportivo and Sevilla in the La Liga table?

Sevilla are third on 10 points from five matches. Deportivo are sixth on 8 points from four matches.