Newcastle vs Hull City Prediction – Premier League 2026/27

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Model v2 · Generated 14 Sep 2026, 18:34 UTC

Unbeaten Hull Head to St James’ Park With a Point to Prove

Hull City arrive on Tyneside without a defeat to their name this season, sitting on eight points from four games. Newcastle, a match behind but unbeaten themselves on five points, need a home win to keep pace with the early front-runners. This is a genuine form test for both clubs.

The State of Newcastle

Eddie Howe’s side have drawn two and won one of their opening three league fixtures, a pattern that suggests solidity without ruthlessness. The 2-0 win over Tottenham was the highlight, a controlled display that showed Newcastle can still dominate at St James’ Park. But draws against Liverpool (2-2) and Bournemouth (2-2) point to a familiar issue: conceding soft goals when in winning positions. Newcastle’s attacking talent is obvious, with pace and power across the front line, but the midfield pivot needs to offer more protection when leads are established. Having played one fewer match than most of the division, Howe will view this as a chance to bank three points at home and move into the upper reaches of the table.

The State of Hull City

The Tigers are the story of the early season. Two wins, two draws, just two goals conceded in four matches, and results against Manchester United (2-0 win), Coventry (1-0), Aston Villa (0-0 draw), and Chelsea (2-2) that would have seemed fanciful a few years ago. Hull’s defensive organisation has been their calling card, with a structure that frustrates opponents and limits chances. The 2-2 draw with Chelsea on Matchday 4, where Hull twice came from behind or levelled, showed real character. This is not a side content to just survive in the top flight.

Head-to-Head

Newcastle and Hull have a long history, mostly shaped by the years both clubs bounced between divisions. St James’ Park has traditionally been a difficult venue for the Tigers, with Newcastle’s home support and attacking quality usually telling. In their more recent Premier League meetings, Newcastle have been dominant, though Hull have occasionally pulled off results when written off.

👀 What to Watch

Hull’s defensive record, just two goals conceded in four games, against a Newcastle attack that has scored six in three. Something has to give. The key question is whether Hull can maintain their compact shape against the width and movement Newcastle generate from their front players. If Hull sit deep and invite pressure, Newcastle have the quality to break them down, but if Hull press higher as they did against Chelsea, gaps will open at the back that Newcastle’s pace can exploit. The other narrative: Hull have a game in their legs from midweek, having played Chelsea on 12 September, just a week before this fixture, while Newcastle last played on 5 September, giving them a rest advantage.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives Newcastle a 80% chance of winning, 16% for a draw and 4% for Hull City. Expected goals: 2.2–0.3. Both teams score: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Newcastle’s home advantage and attacking firepower should be decisive against a Hull side that, for all their defensive discipline, have scored just five goals in four games. The model puts both teams scoring at 25% and over 2.5 goals at 46%, reflecting Hull’s tight defensive approach but limited attacking output away from home. St James’ Park is a difficult place to come and park the bus for 90 minutes. These are model projections, not a guarantee of outcome.

Prediction: Newcastle 2-0 Hull City

Practical Info

Kickoff: 15:00 BST (Sat 19 Sep) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 19 Sep) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 19 Sep). Venue: St James’ Park. Where to watch: Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day (UK) / NBC Sports & Peacock (US).

FAQ

What time is Newcastle vs Hull City?

Kickoff is at 15:00 BST (Sat 19 Sep) / 10:00 AM EDT (Sat 19 Sep) / 16:00 CEST (Sat 19 Sep).

Where is Newcastle vs Hull City being played?

The match is at St James' Park, Newcastle.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Hull City?

Newcastle 2-0 Hull City. Newcastle's home form and attacking quality should be too much for Hull, whose away goal threat has been limited despite their strong defensive record.

How can I watch Newcastle vs Hull City on TV?

In the UK, coverage is available on Sky Sports, TNT Sports & BBC Match of the Day. In the US, the match is on NBC Sports & Peacock.

Are Hull City still unbeaten this season?

Yes. Going into Matchday 5, Hull have won two and drawn two of their four Premier League matches, conceding just two goals. They sit on eight points.