AC Monza vs Udinese Prediction — Serie A 2026/27

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Monza Need An Answer After Four Conceded

AC Monza lost 1-4 to Internazionale on 22 August, while Udinese drew 1-1 with Como. Monza need a response at home in Matchday 2 against opponents who have not lost at the U-Power Stadium in three visits.

The State of AC Monza

The 1-4 Serie A defeat to Inter was an ugly result: Monza scored, but shipped four at the other end, and that is the number that defines their week. The consolation is that they did find the net — this is not a side that has looked incapable of creating.

The rebuild in defence is the story. Andrea Carboni and Lorenzo Lucchesi are the centre-back pairing the club is asking to hold a back line together against Serie A movement, with Valentin Antov and Filippo Delli Carri as the alternatives. Samuele Birindelli and Ricardo Mangas provide the width from full-back — Mangas in particular is the more adventurous of the two going forward, which cuts both ways when the transition arrives. In goal, Semuel Pizzignacco and Demba Thiam are the options behind a unit that has yet to settle.

Going forward, Monza still lean on the two players who have carried them for years. Matteo Pessina is the captain and the tempo-setter, the one who drops to receive under pressure and gets the ball moving before it becomes a problem. Andrea Colpani is the creative outlet — a player who arrives late into the box and shoots from the edge, and Monza’s most reliable source of a goal from midfield. Patrick Ciurria’s running on the flank gives the shape a second gear when Monza get to break. Idrissa Touré offers a physical option wide. Against Inter, the problem was not that these players disappeared; it was that Monza were chasing the game for an hour, and that is a condition Colpani and Pessina cannot fix on their own.

The State of Udinese Calcio

A 1-1 Serie A draw with Como is a workmanlike start and exactly the kind of result Udinese tend to bank. One point, one goal for, one against — nothing that flatters them, nothing that alarms.

Udinese’s identity is built from the back, and their squad reflects it. Oumar Solet is the athletic centrepiece of the defence, a defender who covers ground and steps into midfield to break a pass line. Christian Kabasele brings the experience alongside him, with Nicolo Bertola and Matteo Palma in reserve. The wing-back positions are the engine of the system: Hassane Kamara on one side, Mërgim Vojvoda and Alessandro Zanoli as the alternatives, all of them expected to cover the full length of the pitch. Enzo Ebosse and Leonardo Buta add left-side cover. Maduka Okoye and Daniele Padelli split goalkeeping duties.

Saba Goglichidze and James Abankwah are the younger pieces Udinese have integrated into that structure — the club’s model has always been to blood players into a system that protects them rather than exposes them. That is the point about this Udinese: they do not need to dominate a match to leave with something. Against a Monza side that conceded four last time out, a low-risk approach with pace on the counter is the obvious script.

Head-to-Head

The last six meetings have produced 1 Monza win, 2 Udinese wins and 3 draws — and, notably, not a single side has scored three or more in any of them. The widest margin in the whole sample is one goal, achieved three times. These are tight, low-ceiling fixtures.

At the U-Power Stadium specifically, the record is uncomfortable for the hosts: three meetings, Udinese have won two, one draw, no Monza wins. That includes a 1-2 Udinese win in Monza on 9 December 2024 and a 1-1 draw on 29 October 2023. Monza’s win in the sample came away, 2-1 at Udinese on 11 May 2025.

Both clubs scored in five of the six meetings, which is the strongest argument for goals at both ends here.

👀 What to Watch

The first phase of Monza’s build-up against Udinese’s press. Solet stepping out of the back line to squeeze Pessina is the single most consequential duel on the pitch: if Pessina cannot turn and face, Monza’s forward passing dries up and Colpani ends up receiving with his back to goal 40 yards out. Monza’s answer is usually to use the full-backs as the release valve — which is precisely where Udinese’s wing-backs want the ball to go.

Second: Monza’s defensive line under transition after conceding four. Carboni and Lucchesi are a pairing still finding its rhythm, and Udinese’s wing-backs attack space behind full-backs by design. Mangas pushing high is Monza’s best route into the final third and their biggest exposure in the same movement.

🔮 Prediction

Our model gives AC Monza a 32% chance, the draw 28%, and Udinese Calcio 40%, with expected goals of 1.2-1.3 — a genuinely tight fixture with a modest edge for the visitors. It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at just 46%, which fits a head-to-head where nobody has scored three in six meetings.

On exact scores, 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline at 13.4%, but with the win probabilities favouring the away side we take their most likely winning score, 0-1 (10.4%). Monza’s home record against Udinese in this sample — no wins in three — and the four goals conceded last weekend are what tilt the read, though 32% for the hosts is a reminder this is not a mismatch.

These are model projections — not betting advice. Wager responsibly.

Prediction: AC Monza 0-1 Udinese Calcio

Practical Info

Kickoff is 18:30 CEST (Sat 29 Aug) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sat 29 Aug) / 17:30 BST (Sat 29 Aug) at the U-Power Stadium in Monza. Where to watch: DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK)

FAQ

What time is AC Monza vs Udinese Calcio?

Kickoff is 18:30 CEST (Sat 29 Aug) / 12:30 PM EDT (Sat 29 Aug) / 17:30 BST (Sat 29 Aug), on Saturday 29 August 2026.

Where is AC Monza vs Udinese Calcio being played?

At the U-Power Stadium in Monza, AC Monza's home ground, in Matchday 2 of the 2026/2027 Serie A season.

How can I watch AC Monza vs Udinese Calcio on TV?

DAZN (Italy) / TNT Sports (UK).

Who won the last meeting between AC Monza and Udinese Calcio?

AC Monza won the most recent meeting 2-1, played at Udinese Calcio's ground on 11 May 2025. Across the last six meetings Udinese have two wins, Monza one, with three draws.

What is the predicted score for AC Monza vs Udinese Calcio?

AC Monza 0-1 Udinese Calcio. The model gives Udinese a 40% win chance against Monza's 32%, and while 1-1 is the most likely single score at 13.4%, 0-1 is the most likely winning scoreline for the favoured side.